Sunday, December 20, 2009

NFL Week 15 Quick Picks

INDY (-3) over Jacksonville
NEW ORLEANS (-7) over Dallas
Green Bay (+1.5) over PITTSBURGH
TENNESSEE (-3) over Miami
New England (-7) over BUFFALO
Arizona (-12) over DETROIT
San Francisco (+8.5) over PHILLY
Atlanta (+5) over NYJ
BALTIMORE (-10.5) over Chicago
Cleveland (+2) over KC
Houston (-10) over ST. LOUIS
SAN DIEGO (-6.5) over Cincy
Oakland (+14) over DENVER
SEATTLE (-6.5) over Tampa Bay
Minnesota (-9) over CAROLINA
WASHINGTON (+3) over New York Giants

Tuesday, December 15, 2009

Week 14 Mistakes

8-8

Well at least it wasn't a losing week, I suppose. Besides the Thursday and Monday night games, not a very surprising week. Most of the teams who were favored won (although not all of them covered their spreads, mind you) and nothing that happened was entirely shocking. The Chargers were a slight underdog on the road, but are we really surprised they beat Dallas in a December game? Same thing with Miami. Slight underdog against Jacksonville, but is anyone shocked that they edged out the Jaguars? No. We did learn a few things though. Things we thought might have been true before, which have now been confirmed:

1) The Chargers and Vikings are real contenders
2) The Steelers are done
3) St. Louis is the worst team in the league
and 4) Something is definitely wrong in New England

Now that last one is interesting because they are still 8-5 and atop their division, but they are definitely not the Patriots we are used to. Randy Moss isn't trying at all, pulling in just 1 catch (which he promptly fumbled). Brady had a season-low passing day again a less than average Panthers D, and it is becoming glaringly apparent that he is unable to rally his teammates. While the defense held the Panthers to just 10 points, there is still a flatness about it. There is just no excitement for them anymore. It's sad to watch.

Anywho, I correctly picked these 8 games:

INDIANAPOLIS (-7) over Denver 28-16
MINNESOTA (-7) over Cincinnati 30-10
Buffalo (PK) over KANSAS CITY 16-10
Green Bay (-3) over CHICAGO 21-14
Carolina (+13.5) Over NEW ENGLAND 10-20
Washington (-1) over OAKLAND 34-13
San Diego (+3) over DALLAS 20-17
Philadelphia (-1) over NEW YORK GIANTS 45-38

But I incorrectly picked these 8:

Pittsburgh (-10) over CLEVELAND
Score: CLE 13, PIT 6
Come on, did anyone think the Browns were going to win this game? I myself have defended the Browns D in the past so I am not shocked that the Steelers had offensive troubles, but that Browns offense... I guess they just weren't utilizing Joshua Cribbs before. I dunno.

TAMPA BAY (+3) over New York Jets
Score: NYJ 26, TB 3
So maybe I got a little wrapped up in the whole Kellen Clemens thing and forgot that Josh Freeman was playing on the other side. The Jets were able to run the ball and Freeman's interception problems continued (8 in the past 2 games now). It's looking pretty bleak again in Tampa Bay. At least they have that Green Bay win under their belt.

New Orleans (-10) over ATLANTA
Score: NO 26, ATL 23
I keep picking the Saints to cover double digit spreads, and every week I look and they are barely holding off a mediocre team late in the game. They should be blowing out these teams. I can't figure it out. We all know they have the offensive capabilities, but it seems like they are always holding back just a bit. Do they not want to run up the score or something? Are they content with just staying in games and giving themselves a chance to win at the end? If so, that is a major problem. They need to have that killer instinct. They need to put teams away when they get the chance.

Detroit (+13.5) over BALTIMORE
Score: BAL 48, DET 3
Holy cow, the Lions weren't even pretending like they belong in the NFL, were they? This had to be the best thing that could ever have happened to the Ravens offense right? They have had a few rough weeks in a row now and Flacco's competency was really starting to come into question. But thank god for the Lions defense. They literally laid down and let the Ravens go up and down the field on them, accumulating approximately 14,000 yards in the game. I really don't know what I was thinking...

St. Louis (+13) over TENNESSEE
Score: TEN 47, STL 7
Speaking of not knowing what I was thinking... Are we sure this line wasn't Titans (-41) before? I feel like that's the only way I would have taken the Rams... We're sure? Well crap.

JACKSONVILLE (-2.5) over Miami
Score: MIA 14, JAX 10
I still don't like Miami. You can't make me like them. I refuse to believe they deserve to make the playoffs. They have won some nice games this year, sure. But they play down to other team's levels (teams they should supposedly beat soundly). And their passing offense is still leaving a bad taste in my mouth. I don't like them without Ronnie Brown. Not one bit.

Seattle (+6) over HOUSTON
Score: HOU 34, SEA 7
I am so glad the Texans decided to show up for this game. After I blindly picked them every week, and they continually burned me, I am so glad they start covering easily when I start picking against them. It's ridiculous. How am I supposed to know who to pick when everyone plays so flipping erratically? Quick Note: I am glad Andre Johnson had a big day, keep up the good work champ.

Arizona (-3.5) over SAN FRANCISCO
Score: SF 24, ARI 9
That Niners D looked awfully scary didn't it? I know you have to put some or most of the blame on Arizona's offense for their 7 turnovers, but the 49ers D was hacking at the ball like they thought it was Shaquille O'Neal. Warner was frustrated all night by that pass rush, and I really think the Cardinals just become demoralized by all the turnovers. Real ugly game for them. Real nice win for San Fran.

Overall Record: 108-98-2
Ballsy Pick of the Week Record: 9-3

Fantasy Update:
League: WeLikeSportz
Lost to Kyle 124.3-96.77
Total let down by Brady and S. Jackson. I stood no chance with them combining for just 18 points. Vincent Jackson returned to form and contributed 16, and Fred Davis caught 2 TDs on his way to 18 points, but it just wasn't enough. I am out of contention and walk away from the league, again, winning no money.

League: League of Imported Spirits
Beat Team Unicorns 169.25-104.95
I told you I could beat him. And I didn't just beat him, I DESTROYED him. Everyone on my team (except Anquan Boldin) put up double digits, highlighted by Jamaal Charles (24.1), Peyton Manning (26.5), and Andre Johnson (31.6). It was a complete team effort and I could not be prouder of my guys. Now we must turn our attention to preparation for Team Pearly Gates (whom I swept 2-0 in the regular season)

Saturday, December 12, 2009

Happy Birthday Sis

I have decided to eschew my usual Saturday NFL prediction blog post (quick picks will be posted tomorrow morning), in order to pay tribute to someone very dear to me. My sister Taylor turns 20 today, and in her honor, I have assembled a very special collection of memories.

TAYLOR-ED TO PERFECTION: STORIES OF LOVE, COMPASSION, AND BRUTAL KINSHIP
Written by Blake Eaton
Foreword by Blake Eaton
Performed by, Directed by, and Starring Blake Eaton

Foreword: The night of December 12th, 1989 was not a pleasant one. Rain, snow, and hail pounded rooftops as the cold reality of winter bore down upon an unsuspecting public. Temperatures dipped to 20 below zero, and the wind howled like a wolf baying at the moon. Times were tough. The recently instated tax on breathing had drained everyone of their well-earned money. And the potato, sour cream, and chives famines created much despair. The gallantry and excitement of the Reagan administration had faded, to be replaced with the skullduggery and dysfunction of President Daddy Bush. And yet, out of the desolate wasteland, there rose a glimmer of shining hope: a proverbial light at the end of the tunnel. This angel, this savior arrived in our world in the form of newborn Taylor Rebecca Brody Eaton. And this is her story.

In terms of organization, I have designed this story in the form of a countdown: Starting with the number 20 (for obvious symbolic reasons) best Taylor moment and counting down to #1. I have no need for transitions, because, to be honest, they are beneath me. I will also attempt to keep the witty banter to a minimum, but knowing myself, I will most likely fail miserably at said task. So, without further ado, we begin!

#20 During my fantasy league’s 2008 draft, Taylor sat in as a representative for one of the members (Johnny McGee) who was unable to make it because he lives in Northern California. She and Johnny talked on AIM, and she relayed his picks to the rest of us. This system worked surprising well and I remain thankful to Taylor for her agreement. The hilarity ensued at the end of the draft when Taylor decided to assemble a crack fantasy team of Adrian Peterson (the OTHER Adrian Peterson), Corey Lekerkerker, and Brady Quinn. By my calculations, her team amassed a total of 49.82 fantasy points that season, landing her, steadfastly, in last place.

#19 Taylor and I used to play in an indoor soccer league at the YMCA. We participated in it for a few years, culminating in the year that our father coached the team, and we went something like 12-1. Ah, such fond memories from our childhood. Of course, I was the remarkably better talent, notching 40-some goals that season. But Taylor was always the faster, and played with wild and reckless abandon. I have a vague memory of her breaking another player’s femur with a particularly ferocious slide tackle, then laughing at him while the paramedics carried him off the field. Taylor always was a highly-driven competitor.

#18 During my sophomore year of high school, Taylor was the Teacher’s Aide for my French 3 and 4 classes. While I do not deny my sister’s prodigious skill in the language, my own skill level had far surpassed most of those of my classmates, creating somewhat of a sibling rivalry (one of many to be talked about in this countdown). The question was not who possessed the higher understanding of the language, but rather if my knowledge was enough to render her assistant useless. It pains me to admit it, but I lost that battle, and succumbed to her infinite wisdom.

#17 Although it may come as a surprise to you now, there once was a time when Taylor was an expert ballerina. She was on track to become the youngest dancer in the New York City Ballet since Alexandria Balachov in 1965. Personally, I am not a huge fan of ballet. I am more of a… heterosexual guy. But I still attended her studio’s production of “The Nutcracker” every year. It was always the same story, and always rather on the lengthy side, but I went anyways. By my count, I saw that production 11 times and I enjoyed 2 things immensely. The first was when someone screwed up noticeably. The second was picking Taylor out of the group and watching her perform.

#16 Aww, aren’t we all feeling sentimental? That won’t last long. After the long-anticipated release of Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince, I was able to power through the dictionary-length novel before Taylor was. I don’t remember the exact wording, or exactly why I did it, but I hinted towards the fact the Dumbledore was going to die (If you haven’t read it by now, I’m sorry, that’s your fault). She flipped. That had to be one of the scariest moments of my life. I was afraid to sleep that night for fear that she would sneak into my room with a butcher knife. The best part is, I am NOT exaggerating here. I do not believe I have seen her that mad, save maybe 2 other occasions. She was going to find out anyways right? Someone back me up here.

#15 I don’t even know if Taylor is going to remember this one, but I sure do. It was a Monday night in the middle of the 2003 NFL Season. I was watching the Buccaneers-Colts game. The Buccs took a 35-14 lead with 5 minutes left following a Ronde Barber return TD (any football fans out there SHOULD remember this game). I don’t know why she was paying attention, or how she knew what the outcome would be, but Taylor bet me the Colts would win. Who doesn’t take that bet? Evidently a person who likes money. The Colts won that game 38-35 in overtime, as the Buccaneers experienced a collapse worse than Lindsay Lohan’s career. Taylor made me pay up too. Life rewards the bold, I suppose.

#14 I didn’t actually experience this one, but I heard about after the fact. Taylor used to have my dad drop her off at the back of the SDA campus, to avoid the rush of people at the front. There was an extremely high-security gate at at the back, which was usually opened sometime before the school day. Unfortunately, on this particular morning, it was not. So naturally, Taylor tried to jump the fence, and got her hand crushed in the process. Don’t ask me what happened because it still doesn’t make sense to me, but as I remember, she said it kinda collapsed inward and pinned her hand down. I will leave it at that. Do you want some ice cream with that humble pie, Taylor?

#13 Taylor and I used to take piano lessons from a strange man named Robbie, who told me that playing the piano was a great way to get chicks. By the appearance of his apartment, I would have to disagree. Nevertheless, a natural sibling rivalry erupted and we were soon battling to one-up each other at any opportunity. She liked to blaze through each song and quickly move on to the next, and I preferred to perfect each and take as much time as necessary (that’s the excuse I use to explain why she was ahead of me in the book anyway). So it quickly became apparent that while Taylor knew more songs, I was better at playing them. Eventually, we both began to dislike going to our lessons and our initial excitement faded. But to this day, Taylor can sit down and immediately play the fastest rendition of “Swinging on a Star” you have ever heard. And not to toot my own horn, but I can play the hell out of the “Entertainer.”

#12 Here’s a cute one. Our family used to go to our Aunt and Uncle’s house to celebrate Thanksgiving. The house had 4 or 5 different floors; so naturally, we would play hide and seek with our cousin Noah. I came into the game with better strategy and commitment than Taylor did. But as I have said, she was a fast little devil, and damn near impossible to catch if it turned into a footrace. Because there were only 2 people to seek for, and if you went the wrong way to start with, you were basically toast, one person could remain “it” for hours. As I recall, I was the one who usually ended up as “it.” What was Taylor’s best hiding place, you ask? I believe I once found her in a hamper… but I could be mistaken.

#11 Last April, Taylor decided to come home from UCSB for a few days for our parents’ birthdays (April 8th and 12th). She was coming in at midnight on the coaster, and she wanted her arrival to be a surprise for them. So I told my parents I was going to my buddy Tad’s house, and that I would return the next morning. Little did they know that I would be returned much earlier in the morning than they had expected. (Quick note: In my opinion, I was completely honest with them. I DID go to Tad’s house, and we returned with Taylor around 1 A.M. which is in the morning… so suck it). We returned back home and snuck to the front door. I quietly inserted my key, turned, and pushed the door. Nothing. Didn’t even budge. My father had locked the dead bolt on the door. Embarrassed and discouraged, we called the home phone, and woke up our dad. He came and unlocked the door, at which point Taylor weakly said “Surprise…” I know he was happy Taylor was home, but I think we were all expecting a slightly more… lighted welcome.

#10 I turned this spot over to my brother, Troy, so that he too could pay tribute to Taylor with his own story about her. Here are his exact words, “There once was a little girl named Taylor. She was very, very smart, and then she went to college. Then she went to Italy. She did lots and lots of stuff there. The end.” Nuff said.

#9 Let’s go back to 2001 for this one. Taylor and I were home alone with little Troy, taking care of him until our parents arrived home from work. It was our mom’s first day back at her job at the courthouse, following her maternity leave. Taylor asked me to make Easy Mac for Troy. I was 10 years old ok? Who asks a 10 year old to cook macaroni? Even the easy kind? Unsurprisingly, I forgot to add water to the dry noodles before I put them in the microwave. If anyone has ever put Easy Mac in the microwave without adding water… Oh just me? Well, it wasn’t pretty. It started to smoke and eventually the fire alarm went off and we fled to our neighbors’ house. Taylor was quick to accuse me of burning our house down, which is a gross exaggeration. I blame her for delegating that task to me. You can’t trust a 10 year old me with microwaves and stuff.

#8 Like every other kid on the face of the Earth, Taylor and I used to love Pokemon. We used to play Pokemon, we used to trade cards of Pokemon, we used to eat Pokemon (you heard me). But the one Pokemon-related thing we loved most was the animated TV show. For some reason, unbeknownst to us sane people, they scheduled it for like 5:00 AM. We used to make our parents wake us up at 4:45 every week day for at least 6 months (possibly longer) so that we could watch it (for all you youngin’s out there, this was in the days before DVRs and recording devices. If you missed it, you missed it). I remember one particular episode in which Ash (incidentally, the worst main character name ever) and the gang were looking to catch a ghost-type Pokemon. They went to a haunted building/tower and Charmander (incidentally, the cutest Pokemon ever) got his face licked by a Haunter (incidentally, the most disturbing Pokemon attack ever). Good times, good times.

#7 Anyone out there a Sister Hazel fan? Anyone heard the song, “All for you”? If anyone has an explanation as to how someone can sing that song WITHOUT a southern twang comparable to Billy Ray Cyrus after 14 Miller Lites, I would love to hear it. As our mutual friend Anna Plumlee can attest, Taylor and I do not hold back when this song comes on. If anyone needs a musical act for their wedding, bar mitzvah, or Super bowl party, do not hesitate to contact us.

#6 Growing up as an avid sports fan, many of the video games I played were sports-oriented. Taylor was not so interested in Madden or March Madness so I played against the CPU in most of those. However, there was (and is) a game that we agreed on wholeheartedly. A game that is right up there with the greatest of all time. A game which encompasses everything you could want. I speak, of course, of the Super Smash Bros. franchise. I can vividly remember one occasion on which we decided to partake in the pure chaos of a 99 life battle. I want to say it took us upwards of 150 minutes to complete the fight, with the outcome of a Blake victory (what were you expecting?) I had something like 146 kills in that fight (I say "something like" to appear humble or indifferent. In reality, I know it was EXACTLY 146), but of course Taylor had to taint it by saying that she became tired with the brawl and allowed me to win. A likely excuse.

#5 My favorite comedy TV show (and possibly my OUTRIGHT favorite) is undoubtedly Scrubs. I feel as though I know Zach Braff better than anyone in the world. And if I should ever run into him in real life and find out that he is not actually like that, my life will be ruined. Are you listening Zach? Ruined!!! Anyways, Taylor and I have seen every single episode they have made. We spent hours upon hours watching episodes back to back to back to back and revelling in the comedic genius. As we all know, anything is automatically 630% funnier if you have someone else laughing at it with you. It's just a fact. Except for Al Roker. Then it's 19400% funnier.

#4 Last summer, Taylor, myself, our mom, and the previously mentioned Anna Plumlee went to the Del Mar horse races. It was the first time I could place bets there... legally. And I was rearing to make me some money. I didn't do so well. I didn't even make it back to even. But Taylor, oh ho, Taylor made out quite nicely. She picked a few horses she liked in the 2nd race and decided she wanted to try a "Trifecta Box." Explanation is probably needed. A "Trifecta" is where you pick 3 horses to come in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd and they have to come in that EXACT order (Example: If you bet a 1,5,7 trifecta, a 1,5,7 finish is a win, a 5,1,7 finish is not). And a "Trifecta Box" is where you pick 3 horses, but they can come in first, second, and third in ANY order (Example: If you bet a 1,5,7 trifecta box, both a 1,5,7 finish and a 5,1,7 finish are wins). You may be asking yourself, so why wouldn't you ALWAYS do a trifecta box? Becuase my friends, if you enter in a $2 trifecta box, the computer places $2 on EACH combination for those 3 horses finishing in the top 3. So it becomes a $12 bet. This is exactly what Taylor did. She admitted afterwards that she did not want to spend $12 and that if she had known it was going to do that, she would NOT, I repeat NOT, have made the bet. And what should happen? She wins $900. No I'm not bitter.

#3 When Troy was just a little lad, he had one of those little yellow floaties babies can sit in in the pool. Just to clarify, Troy was not the bravest of kids, so he would not have done well in water by himself... Just pointing that out. Taylor decided it was either funny or intelligent (and I really hope it was the former) for her to hold Troy on her lap while SHE sat on top of the floatie. I told her not to, but did she listen? No. Mere seconds after she had positioned herself on the floatie, it slipped out from under her and she kinda flipped off. Sacrificing Troy to save herself, she dropped him into the pool FACE DOWN. He flapped there for a few seconds until someone had the COMMON SENSE to grab him (it was me, I was the one with common sense). Taylor is lucky he didn't drown that day.

#2 My first distinct memory. In our old house, the upstairs bathroom had two seperates doors. One connected it to our parents' bedroom, and the other to the hallway. We used to chase each other through the upstairs area and slam the bathroom doors behind us (in a very dangerous attempt at slowing the other down). One day, Taylor evidently thought it would be funny to lock the doors behind her, but not close them. Think about what happened when I (a 2 year old child) slammed the doors shut around me. They both locked. I tried opening the door to our parents' bedroom. Locked. I tried opening the one to the hallway. Locked. I possessed neither the intelligence nor hand-eye coordination to unlock the locks. I began to cry. Taylor, now appalled at what she had done, became panicked and naturally started vomiting (... don't look at me, I'm just recounting the story). Imagine our parents' surprise upon finding their children crying, one locked in the bathroom, and one vomitting uncontrollably. I assume that's one of the moments in which they regretted having children.

#1 You know what's coming Taylor. You have been dreading it the whole time. You have been wondering when this moment was going to show up on the list, but you haven't seen it yet. You know why? Because it is the single greatest moment we have ever had. I will never be so proud of you, as I was in that moment. A few years back, I invited my buddy Spencer Sheridan over to watch some football. This was during that awkward time when everyone actually thought "Your mom" jokes were funny. Spencer and I had been making them all afternoon and Taylor decided she had to get in on the action as well. She sat there, concentrating hard, waiting for the perfect moment. Spencer, in the act of going up the stairs to the kitchen, stumbled and Taylor pounced like a tiger. She blurted out "Your mom can't walk up stairs!"... Spencer's mom was paralyzed in a car crash and uses a walker. Ladies and gentlemen... Taylor Eaton!!!

Hope you had a great B-day, and I hope you enjoyed the memories as much as I did.

Much love,

Blake Eaton

NFL Week 14

Quick Picks:

INDY (-7) over Denver
MINNY (-7) over Cincy
TAMPA BAY (+3) over New York Jets
Buffalo (PK) over KANSAS CITY
Green Bay (-3) over CHICAGO
New Orleans (-10) over ATLANTA
Detroit (+13.5) over BALTIMORE
JACKSONVILLE (-2.5) over Miami
Carolina (+13.5) over NEW ENGLAND
Seattle (+6) over HOUSTON
St. Louis (+13) over TENNESSEE
Washington (-1) over OAKLAND
San Diego (+3) over DALLAS
Philadelphia (+1) over NEW YORK GIANTS
Arizona (-3.5) over SAN FRAN

Thursday, December 10, 2009

NFL Week 14 (Part 1)

First of all, I apologize for the spacing in my previous column. For some reason, it won't let me put spaces in between my paragraphs, but I guess I'll just have to live with it. Anyways, we have a game tonight - another rousing Thursday night matchup! Thank god I have the NFL Network so I can watch this barnburner.

Pittsburgh (-10) over CLEVELAND
If the Steelers are ever going to rip a team to shreds, it's in this game, isn't it? I don't like what I'm seeing from their D, what with their inability to close games, but I feel much more comfortable picking Pittsburgh, even with the double digit line. I would not be shocked if the Browns sneak out a cover (a la last week against my Chargers) but the Steelers are in much more of a must-win attitude. I don't expect them to let up in the 4th quarter.

Tuesday, December 8, 2009

Week 13 MIstakes

5-11

This is what happens when you become complacent. This is what happens when you think you have it all figured out. One week after my best week of the season, I lay an egg, which hatches into my worst week of the season. I put up a 3-11 on Sunday. I'm shocked right now. I'm in a daze. I have no excuses. None.

Somehow, I managed to get these games right:

New York Jets (-3) over BUFFALO 19-13
Denver (-4.5) over KANSAS CITY 44-13
Philadelphia (-5.5) over ATLANTA 34-7
St. Louis (+8.5) over CHICAGO 9-17
GREEN BAY (-3.5) over Baltimore 27-14
And somehow, I managed to get ALL of these wrong:
PITTSBURGH (-14.5) over Oakland
Score: OAK 27, PIT 24
What a weird game. Pittsburgh puts up 14 4th quarter points, and the defense can't hold off the Raiders offense? Come on! The Steelers had this game won 3 different times and the defense gave it away. Not only was it a home game, but these are the games that playoff teams win. I am a believer in the fact that any NFL team can beat another on the right day, they all have NFL talent. But these are the games the Steelers always win. And this season, they haven't been winning them.
Houston (PK) over JACKSONVILLE
Score: JAC 23, HOU 18
So the Houston Texans are done. That's all there is to it. The kingdom of Kubiak is crumbled as we speak. Matt Schaub just cannot get it done in clutch situations and the defense has not been as great as advertised. They just find ways to lose. They are THAT team.
Tennessee (+7) over INDIANAPOLIS (Ballsy Pick FAILED)
Score: IND 27, TEN 17
Well fine Colts. Obviously your defense is up to the task, and unless you just completely don't care about going 16-0, then you aren't going to lose a game. Not until the playoffs at least. In retrospect, I shouldn't put so much faith in the Titans. I think I wanted them to win more than I actually thought they would.


CINCINNATI (-13) over Detroit
Score: CIN 23, DET 13
I can't believe the Bengals D let the Lions roll right down the field and score at the end of the game. The outcome had already been decided. The Bengals were up by 17. What a garbage TD. What a garbage cover...
New Orleans (-9.5) over WASHINGTON
Score: NO 33, WAS 30
I'm still trying to figure out how the Saints won this game. Is there a concrete explanation? I don't think so. How many freak plays/bad calls were there that went the Saints way? I counted at least 3 (the Robert Meachum strip/fumble recovery/td, the 23-yard missed field goal (I mean come on, NO ONE misses 23-yard field goals), and the overtime fumble call that did not appear anywhere near indisputable to me. The point is, the Saints need to start showing up against these "middle of the pack" teams. They crush teams like New England, Philly, and New York, but are unable to put away teams like St. Louis, Washington, and Atlanta . It's mind-boggling.
Tampa Bay (+6) over CAROLINA
Score: CAR 16, TB 6
This is flipping ridiculous! I should have had this one. Josh Freeman threw 5 picks,3 of which occured inside the Carolina 25 yard line, and 1 which occured inside the Carolina FIVE yard line. Also, Connor Barth missed 2 completely makable field goals. The Buccaneers just live to ruin me.
San Diego (-13) over CLEVELAND
Score: SD 30, CLE 23
Calm down everyone. It is not a big deal that the Chargers only beat the Browns by 7. First of all, the game was in Cleveland, and nothing is more difficult for a West Coast team than traveling East a few time zones. Second, Brady Quinn was halfway decent in this game, which was a surprise. And third, the Chargers were up 24-7 after 3 quarters. The game was in hand. We just shut it down. We didn't try hard in the 4th quarter but I can live with it.
San Francisco (PK) over SEATTLE
Score: SEA 20, SF 17
Who gives a crap? Good for you Seahawks.
Minnesota (-3.75) over ARIZONA
Score: ARZ 30, MIN 17
Ummm... Whoops? Shouldn't underestimate the Cardinals, and shouldn't forget that Favre is Favre. End o' story.
Dallas (-2) over NEW YORK GIANTS
Score: NYG 31, DAL 24
I can see where I went wrong in this one. I didn't really factor in the "If there is a ever a game this season in which the Giants are going to put up one last fight, it's this one" thing. And that's exactly what happened. The Cowboys didn't make any huge mistakes or anything. The Giants just collected all the intensity they could for this division home game, and they really left it all on the field. I'm still pretty pessimistic about their playoff chances.
New England (-4) over MIAMI
Score: MIA 22, NE 21
What is happening to the Patriots? What the hell is happening?! Bill Belichick doesn't let this happen to his teams. Brady is throwing 4th quarter picks in the endzone. The defense can't stop Chad Henne at the end of the game. I thought the Patriots were well on their way to victory, but they just dissappeared in the second half. It was astonishing. This team better get it together quick because the Dolphins and Jets are both hot on their heels.
Overall Record: 100-90-2
Ballsy Pick of the Week Record: 9-3


Fantasy Update
League: WeLikeSportz
Lost to Team Brees (Current Record: 7-6)
No big deal, I made the playoffs as the 6th and final seed, and I am taking on Kyle (his team name has changed more than the public's view of Tiger Woods,so we'll just stick with his actual name) in round 1. And I am confident.
League: League of Imported Spirits
Lost to Steven (Current Record: 4-9)
Again, not a big deal. All 8 teams in this league are in the playoffs, so I qualified in last with a .307 winning percentage. All right! I don't necessarily see this as a bad thing. I am the underdog. No one believes in me. But I am going to come out and dethrone the 13-0 team Unicorns. Again, confident.

Saturday, December 5, 2009

NFL Week 13

I once again forgot to post my Thursday night pick for this week, but I did indeed choose the New York Jets to cover the 3 point spread over Buffalo. I figured that the Bills didn't truly get a home field advantage, seeing as the game was in Toronto, and the Jets are the better team to begin with.

So I'm off to a hot start this week. Let's keep it going with the rest of my week 13 selections:

Denver (-4.5) over KANSAS CITY
To my dismay, the Broncos looked decent on Thanksgiving. More than decent, really. They looked playoff worthy. I couldn't tell how much of it was actually the Broncos, and how much was the complete incompetence of the Giants. But either way, they should make easy work of the Chiefs. This line should probably be a little higher.

PITTSBURGH (-14.5) over Oakland
The last 3 number one draft picks of the Oakland Raiders (Jamarcus Russell, Darren McFadden, and Darrius Heyward-Bey) have a combined 4 touchdowns and 12 turnovers this year. And they just happen to be the 3 main players on the offense. Unlucky huh? And just to rub it in, here is a list of players who have more receptions than Heyward-Bey: Leonard Weaver, Mike Sellers, Justin Griffith, Gary Barnidge, Joey Haynos, Daniel Coats, J.P. Foschi, Chris Baker, and Michael Crabtree. That list consists of 3 fullbacks, 4 tight ends I have never heard of, the Patriots BACKUP tight end (whom I have heard of) and the wide receiver they should have picked. Bravo, Mr. Davis, bravo.


Houston (PK) over JACKSONVILLE
The dreaded even line. Who to pick? Houston has more good players. Jacksonville has the best player. The Texans have little to no pressure on them (because no one expects anything from them anymore). The Jaguars have everything to play for. It is as even a match up as you will get. So why have I picked Houston? Ummm... Ermm...... Hey look over there! It's a Tiger Woods Sex Scandal!

Tennessee (+7) over INDIANAPOLIS
I am all over the Titans in this one. Unfortunately, the Titans don't really have that "sneaky underdog" factor on their side, because EVERYONE is picking the Titans. They have the run game, they have the quarterback who just wins games, and they have the defense (a much different defense than the one that gave up 31 to the Colts in Tennessee). I am nearly 97% sure this game will be within a touchdown, and I have a strong feeling that the Titans are going to win. Ballsy Pick of the Week: TEN 34, IND 24.


Philadelphia (-5.5) over ATLANTA
If you haven't heard, there is a strong possibility that the Falcons will be without Matt Ryan, Michael Turner, Roddy White, and Michael Jenkins this week. If that is the case, the starting QB, RB, and top 2 WRs would be Chris Redman, Jason Snelling, Marty Booker, and Eric Weems. 16,000 Falcons fans just rammed ice picks into their skulls.


CINCINNATI (-13) over Detroit
The long-awaited return of Cedric Benson. I can not think of a better defense for him to come back to. I know I have made the "Bengals can't blow anyone out" argument, but I think it's time for us to accept that the Lions are just... awful. They are not as bad as last year, but they are not the young, scrappy team we hoped they would be. They just aren't.


New Orleans (-9.5) over WASHINGTON
Do I really need to say anything? Didn't think so.


Tampa Bay (+6) over CAROLINA
Jake Delhomme is out this week. You can look at this one of 2 ways. 1) Jake Delhomme has been awful, Matt Moore can't be much worse. This is probably a good thing for Carolina. Or 2) Jake Delhomme has been awful this year, and he remained in the starting role for 12 weeks. Obviously, the coaches aren't too high on Matt Moore. I am in the second camp.


St. Louis (+8.5) over CHICAGO
This is one of the most ridiculous lines in recent memory. Are we talking about the same Chicago Bears here? The ones who have Jay Cutler, right? Do you know how many Interceptions Jay Cutler has through 11 games? 20. Do you know how many QBs have more than that? ZERO! Do you know how many QBs have less than HALF of that? 22. And this is the team with Matt Forte too, yeah? The so-called number 2 fantasy running back in this year's draft? The one who is on pace for less than 800 yards and 5 TDs? How are they going to win by 9 points??? HOW???

San Diego (-13) over CLEVELAND
Mike Scifres is listed on the injury report with a "Left Groin" injury... Is that why he is such a good punter? He has the advantage of an extra groin? That hardly seems fair...

Minnesota (-3.75) over ARIZONA
Interesting story behind this line. The website I get them from usually displays 3 lines for each game. If one is different from the other 2, I ignore it and go with the majority. If all 3 are different, I use the average of them. For this particular game, they only displayed 2, -3.5 and -4. So naturally I averaged them and came up with -3.75... Deal with it! Regardless, I'm choosing the Vikings. Unless the line is over 2 scores, I'm taking the Vikings.

San Francisco (PK) over SEATTLE
I just don't like the Seahawks very much... or at all. What exactly is it that they do well? Anyone? I guess they have a solid run game but the pass attack has been mediocre. The defense has been mediocre. Olindo Mare is the definition of mediocre (Don't you throw his 90.5% field goal percentage at me, he hasn't made anything over 47. They have to get him inside the 30 to score). My point is, no one out there is saying "I like this Seahawks team". NO ONE.

Dallas (-2) over NEW YORK GIANTS
Are we not giving up on New York yet? What's the deal here? They suck. If I had to pick which New York team has the better chance of making the playoffs right now, I would honestly say the Jets. The Giants have completely lost it. They have come off the tracks. They are not coming apart at the seams, they have come apart at the seams. And 3 of their last 5 are against Dallas, Philly, and Minnesota. It's done. Stick a fork in them.


New England (-4) over MIAMI
The Patriots do not lose back-to-back games. It doesn't happen. The week after an embarrassing loss is the worst week to play the Patriots. So what happens the week after the most embarrassing Patriots loss of the decade? The biggest Patriots blowout of the decade?


GREEN BAY (-3.5) over Baltimore
Aaron Rodgers is quietly putting up pro-bowl numbers, while Joe Flacco is loudly demolishing the hopes of the city of Baltimore. The Ravens still get to play Chicago, Detroit, and Oakland. And they have a chance to prove themselves against Pittsburgh, IN Pittsburgh, week 16 (Oh come on last week did NOT count, they were playing against Dennis Dixon, who had never EVER taken an NFL snap before). However, they are currently on the outside looking in and I'm not sure they have it this year. I have much more faith in Green Bay with a healthy offensive line.

Tuesday, December 1, 2009

Week 12 Mistakes

11-5

Go ahead and let that soak in. An 11-win week. That's what I have been waiting for. You know what the secret is? This week, I didn't think about my picks as much as previous weeks, and I avoided most of the favorites who had a line of -10 or more. Also, I gave the 10-0 teams (especially the one playing at home) some well-desereved credit. In my opinion, the only things standing in the way of a Colts-Saints Superbowl are the Minnesota Vikings and the RED HOT San Diego Chargers. Seriously, I feel like we could take on anyone right now. Especially if everyone keeps ignoring Antonio Gates. I really can't believe people are still trying to cover him with a linebacker, or even a safety. It never works out well. Ever. You have to put a CB on this guy or he is going to destroy you. Not to mention the vertical threat of Jackson and Floyd. Plus, LT is rounding back into form. I don't see how this team is going to be stopped. I'm pretty jacked up about it. Can you tell?

Here are the ELEVEN games I got right:

Green Bay (-11.5) over DETROIT 34-12
DALLAS (-13.5) over Oakland 24-7
Indianapolis (-3.5) Over HOUSTON 35-27
CLEVELAND (+13.5) over Cincinnati 7-16
MINNESOTA (-11) over Chicago 36-10
Washington (+9) over PHILADELPHIA 24-27 (Ballsy Pick of the Week SUCCESSFUL)
TENNESSEE (-2.5) over Arizona 20-17
Tampa Bay (+12) over ATLANTA 17-20
SAN DIEGO (-13.5) over Kansas City 43-14
Pittsburgh (+8) over BALTIMORE 17-20
NEW ORLEANS (-2) over New England 38-17


Glorious, isn't it?


And the best part is, I only have to justify 5 incorrect picks!


New York Giants (-6.5) over DENVER
Score: DEN 26, NYG 6
What has happened to the Giants? After a blazing 5-0 start, the Giants have dropped 5 out of 6, narrowly scraping out a win against Atlanta 2 weeks ago. They have now fallen out of the playoff picture (trailing both Philadelphia and Green Bay by 1 game for a wild card spot), and they simply look completely out of sync. Is Plantar Fasciitis going to single-handedly destroy the Giants season? Check in next week for another thrilling installment!!!


Miami (-3) over BUFFALO
Score: BUF 31, MIA 14
What are the odds of the Bills outscoring the Dolphins 24-0 in the last 13:49? 17 bajillion to one? Higher? What are the odds of the Bills ever scoring 24 points in a single quarter? I know they aren't very good. What a freak of a game this was. My theory as to why the Dolphins fell apart: too much Chad Henne.


ST. LOUIS (+4) over Seattle
Score: SEA 27, STL 17
Steven Jackson had a bad back, ok? He can't do it all by himself. He's not Superman... right?

Carolina (+3) over NEW YORK JETS
Score: NYJ 17, CAR 6
Jake Delhomme strikes again!!!

Jacksonville (+3) over SAN FRANCISCO
Score: SF 20, JAC 3
I really hope the Jaguars don't make the playoffs. There is no way they should be in the top 6 of the AFC. I could name many more than 5 teams who are better than the Jaguars. They haven't played anyone, and they can't compete with mediocre teams like the 49ers (decent at BEST). I would rather see the Titans sneak in there. The Jaguars are just so blase.

Overall Record: 95-79-2
Ballsy Pick of the Week Record: 9-2

Fantasy Update:

League: WeLikeSportz
Defeated Team Snozzberries 110.42 - 95.5

Tom Brady 8.05
Steven Jackson 21.7
LeSean McCoy 15.27
Vincent Jackson 5
Mario Manningham 8.2
Calvin Johnson 8.67
Dustin Keller 6.53
David Akers 14
Vikings D 23

Current Record: 7-5 (4th place)

League: League of Imported Spirits
Lost to Team JC 152.24 - 73.96

Peyton Manning 23.56
Pierre Thomas 14.7
Michael Turner 3.3
Anquan Boldin 5.3
Andre Johnson 6.7
Hines Ward 4.7
T.J. Houshmandzadeh 1.4
Brent Celek 3.3
John Carney 8
Ravens D 3

Current Record: 4-8 (8th place)