Sunday, December 20, 2009

NFL Week 15 Quick Picks

INDY (-3) over Jacksonville
NEW ORLEANS (-7) over Dallas
Green Bay (+1.5) over PITTSBURGH
TENNESSEE (-3) over Miami
New England (-7) over BUFFALO
Arizona (-12) over DETROIT
San Francisco (+8.5) over PHILLY
Atlanta (+5) over NYJ
BALTIMORE (-10.5) over Chicago
Cleveland (+2) over KC
Houston (-10) over ST. LOUIS
SAN DIEGO (-6.5) over Cincy
Oakland (+14) over DENVER
SEATTLE (-6.5) over Tampa Bay
Minnesota (-9) over CAROLINA
WASHINGTON (+3) over New York Giants

Tuesday, December 15, 2009

Week 14 Mistakes

8-8

Well at least it wasn't a losing week, I suppose. Besides the Thursday and Monday night games, not a very surprising week. Most of the teams who were favored won (although not all of them covered their spreads, mind you) and nothing that happened was entirely shocking. The Chargers were a slight underdog on the road, but are we really surprised they beat Dallas in a December game? Same thing with Miami. Slight underdog against Jacksonville, but is anyone shocked that they edged out the Jaguars? No. We did learn a few things though. Things we thought might have been true before, which have now been confirmed:

1) The Chargers and Vikings are real contenders
2) The Steelers are done
3) St. Louis is the worst team in the league
and 4) Something is definitely wrong in New England

Now that last one is interesting because they are still 8-5 and atop their division, but they are definitely not the Patriots we are used to. Randy Moss isn't trying at all, pulling in just 1 catch (which he promptly fumbled). Brady had a season-low passing day again a less than average Panthers D, and it is becoming glaringly apparent that he is unable to rally his teammates. While the defense held the Panthers to just 10 points, there is still a flatness about it. There is just no excitement for them anymore. It's sad to watch.

Anywho, I correctly picked these 8 games:

INDIANAPOLIS (-7) over Denver 28-16
MINNESOTA (-7) over Cincinnati 30-10
Buffalo (PK) over KANSAS CITY 16-10
Green Bay (-3) over CHICAGO 21-14
Carolina (+13.5) Over NEW ENGLAND 10-20
Washington (-1) over OAKLAND 34-13
San Diego (+3) over DALLAS 20-17
Philadelphia (-1) over NEW YORK GIANTS 45-38

But I incorrectly picked these 8:

Pittsburgh (-10) over CLEVELAND
Score: CLE 13, PIT 6
Come on, did anyone think the Browns were going to win this game? I myself have defended the Browns D in the past so I am not shocked that the Steelers had offensive troubles, but that Browns offense... I guess they just weren't utilizing Joshua Cribbs before. I dunno.

TAMPA BAY (+3) over New York Jets
Score: NYJ 26, TB 3
So maybe I got a little wrapped up in the whole Kellen Clemens thing and forgot that Josh Freeman was playing on the other side. The Jets were able to run the ball and Freeman's interception problems continued (8 in the past 2 games now). It's looking pretty bleak again in Tampa Bay. At least they have that Green Bay win under their belt.

New Orleans (-10) over ATLANTA
Score: NO 26, ATL 23
I keep picking the Saints to cover double digit spreads, and every week I look and they are barely holding off a mediocre team late in the game. They should be blowing out these teams. I can't figure it out. We all know they have the offensive capabilities, but it seems like they are always holding back just a bit. Do they not want to run up the score or something? Are they content with just staying in games and giving themselves a chance to win at the end? If so, that is a major problem. They need to have that killer instinct. They need to put teams away when they get the chance.

Detroit (+13.5) over BALTIMORE
Score: BAL 48, DET 3
Holy cow, the Lions weren't even pretending like they belong in the NFL, were they? This had to be the best thing that could ever have happened to the Ravens offense right? They have had a few rough weeks in a row now and Flacco's competency was really starting to come into question. But thank god for the Lions defense. They literally laid down and let the Ravens go up and down the field on them, accumulating approximately 14,000 yards in the game. I really don't know what I was thinking...

St. Louis (+13) over TENNESSEE
Score: TEN 47, STL 7
Speaking of not knowing what I was thinking... Are we sure this line wasn't Titans (-41) before? I feel like that's the only way I would have taken the Rams... We're sure? Well crap.

JACKSONVILLE (-2.5) over Miami
Score: MIA 14, JAX 10
I still don't like Miami. You can't make me like them. I refuse to believe they deserve to make the playoffs. They have won some nice games this year, sure. But they play down to other team's levels (teams they should supposedly beat soundly). And their passing offense is still leaving a bad taste in my mouth. I don't like them without Ronnie Brown. Not one bit.

Seattle (+6) over HOUSTON
Score: HOU 34, SEA 7
I am so glad the Texans decided to show up for this game. After I blindly picked them every week, and they continually burned me, I am so glad they start covering easily when I start picking against them. It's ridiculous. How am I supposed to know who to pick when everyone plays so flipping erratically? Quick Note: I am glad Andre Johnson had a big day, keep up the good work champ.

Arizona (-3.5) over SAN FRANCISCO
Score: SF 24, ARI 9
That Niners D looked awfully scary didn't it? I know you have to put some or most of the blame on Arizona's offense for their 7 turnovers, but the 49ers D was hacking at the ball like they thought it was Shaquille O'Neal. Warner was frustrated all night by that pass rush, and I really think the Cardinals just become demoralized by all the turnovers. Real ugly game for them. Real nice win for San Fran.

Overall Record: 108-98-2
Ballsy Pick of the Week Record: 9-3

Fantasy Update:
League: WeLikeSportz
Lost to Kyle 124.3-96.77
Total let down by Brady and S. Jackson. I stood no chance with them combining for just 18 points. Vincent Jackson returned to form and contributed 16, and Fred Davis caught 2 TDs on his way to 18 points, but it just wasn't enough. I am out of contention and walk away from the league, again, winning no money.

League: League of Imported Spirits
Beat Team Unicorns 169.25-104.95
I told you I could beat him. And I didn't just beat him, I DESTROYED him. Everyone on my team (except Anquan Boldin) put up double digits, highlighted by Jamaal Charles (24.1), Peyton Manning (26.5), and Andre Johnson (31.6). It was a complete team effort and I could not be prouder of my guys. Now we must turn our attention to preparation for Team Pearly Gates (whom I swept 2-0 in the regular season)

Saturday, December 12, 2009

Happy Birthday Sis

I have decided to eschew my usual Saturday NFL prediction blog post (quick picks will be posted tomorrow morning), in order to pay tribute to someone very dear to me. My sister Taylor turns 20 today, and in her honor, I have assembled a very special collection of memories.

TAYLOR-ED TO PERFECTION: STORIES OF LOVE, COMPASSION, AND BRUTAL KINSHIP
Written by Blake Eaton
Foreword by Blake Eaton
Performed by, Directed by, and Starring Blake Eaton

Foreword: The night of December 12th, 1989 was not a pleasant one. Rain, snow, and hail pounded rooftops as the cold reality of winter bore down upon an unsuspecting public. Temperatures dipped to 20 below zero, and the wind howled like a wolf baying at the moon. Times were tough. The recently instated tax on breathing had drained everyone of their well-earned money. And the potato, sour cream, and chives famines created much despair. The gallantry and excitement of the Reagan administration had faded, to be replaced with the skullduggery and dysfunction of President Daddy Bush. And yet, out of the desolate wasteland, there rose a glimmer of shining hope: a proverbial light at the end of the tunnel. This angel, this savior arrived in our world in the form of newborn Taylor Rebecca Brody Eaton. And this is her story.

In terms of organization, I have designed this story in the form of a countdown: Starting with the number 20 (for obvious symbolic reasons) best Taylor moment and counting down to #1. I have no need for transitions, because, to be honest, they are beneath me. I will also attempt to keep the witty banter to a minimum, but knowing myself, I will most likely fail miserably at said task. So, without further ado, we begin!

#20 During my fantasy league’s 2008 draft, Taylor sat in as a representative for one of the members (Johnny McGee) who was unable to make it because he lives in Northern California. She and Johnny talked on AIM, and she relayed his picks to the rest of us. This system worked surprising well and I remain thankful to Taylor for her agreement. The hilarity ensued at the end of the draft when Taylor decided to assemble a crack fantasy team of Adrian Peterson (the OTHER Adrian Peterson), Corey Lekerkerker, and Brady Quinn. By my calculations, her team amassed a total of 49.82 fantasy points that season, landing her, steadfastly, in last place.

#19 Taylor and I used to play in an indoor soccer league at the YMCA. We participated in it for a few years, culminating in the year that our father coached the team, and we went something like 12-1. Ah, such fond memories from our childhood. Of course, I was the remarkably better talent, notching 40-some goals that season. But Taylor was always the faster, and played with wild and reckless abandon. I have a vague memory of her breaking another player’s femur with a particularly ferocious slide tackle, then laughing at him while the paramedics carried him off the field. Taylor always was a highly-driven competitor.

#18 During my sophomore year of high school, Taylor was the Teacher’s Aide for my French 3 and 4 classes. While I do not deny my sister’s prodigious skill in the language, my own skill level had far surpassed most of those of my classmates, creating somewhat of a sibling rivalry (one of many to be talked about in this countdown). The question was not who possessed the higher understanding of the language, but rather if my knowledge was enough to render her assistant useless. It pains me to admit it, but I lost that battle, and succumbed to her infinite wisdom.

#17 Although it may come as a surprise to you now, there once was a time when Taylor was an expert ballerina. She was on track to become the youngest dancer in the New York City Ballet since Alexandria Balachov in 1965. Personally, I am not a huge fan of ballet. I am more of a… heterosexual guy. But I still attended her studio’s production of “The Nutcracker” every year. It was always the same story, and always rather on the lengthy side, but I went anyways. By my count, I saw that production 11 times and I enjoyed 2 things immensely. The first was when someone screwed up noticeably. The second was picking Taylor out of the group and watching her perform.

#16 Aww, aren’t we all feeling sentimental? That won’t last long. After the long-anticipated release of Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince, I was able to power through the dictionary-length novel before Taylor was. I don’t remember the exact wording, or exactly why I did it, but I hinted towards the fact the Dumbledore was going to die (If you haven’t read it by now, I’m sorry, that’s your fault). She flipped. That had to be one of the scariest moments of my life. I was afraid to sleep that night for fear that she would sneak into my room with a butcher knife. The best part is, I am NOT exaggerating here. I do not believe I have seen her that mad, save maybe 2 other occasions. She was going to find out anyways right? Someone back me up here.

#15 I don’t even know if Taylor is going to remember this one, but I sure do. It was a Monday night in the middle of the 2003 NFL Season. I was watching the Buccaneers-Colts game. The Buccs took a 35-14 lead with 5 minutes left following a Ronde Barber return TD (any football fans out there SHOULD remember this game). I don’t know why she was paying attention, or how she knew what the outcome would be, but Taylor bet me the Colts would win. Who doesn’t take that bet? Evidently a person who likes money. The Colts won that game 38-35 in overtime, as the Buccaneers experienced a collapse worse than Lindsay Lohan’s career. Taylor made me pay up too. Life rewards the bold, I suppose.

#14 I didn’t actually experience this one, but I heard about after the fact. Taylor used to have my dad drop her off at the back of the SDA campus, to avoid the rush of people at the front. There was an extremely high-security gate at at the back, which was usually opened sometime before the school day. Unfortunately, on this particular morning, it was not. So naturally, Taylor tried to jump the fence, and got her hand crushed in the process. Don’t ask me what happened because it still doesn’t make sense to me, but as I remember, she said it kinda collapsed inward and pinned her hand down. I will leave it at that. Do you want some ice cream with that humble pie, Taylor?

#13 Taylor and I used to take piano lessons from a strange man named Robbie, who told me that playing the piano was a great way to get chicks. By the appearance of his apartment, I would have to disagree. Nevertheless, a natural sibling rivalry erupted and we were soon battling to one-up each other at any opportunity. She liked to blaze through each song and quickly move on to the next, and I preferred to perfect each and take as much time as necessary (that’s the excuse I use to explain why she was ahead of me in the book anyway). So it quickly became apparent that while Taylor knew more songs, I was better at playing them. Eventually, we both began to dislike going to our lessons and our initial excitement faded. But to this day, Taylor can sit down and immediately play the fastest rendition of “Swinging on a Star” you have ever heard. And not to toot my own horn, but I can play the hell out of the “Entertainer.”

#12 Here’s a cute one. Our family used to go to our Aunt and Uncle’s house to celebrate Thanksgiving. The house had 4 or 5 different floors; so naturally, we would play hide and seek with our cousin Noah. I came into the game with better strategy and commitment than Taylor did. But as I have said, she was a fast little devil, and damn near impossible to catch if it turned into a footrace. Because there were only 2 people to seek for, and if you went the wrong way to start with, you were basically toast, one person could remain “it” for hours. As I recall, I was the one who usually ended up as “it.” What was Taylor’s best hiding place, you ask? I believe I once found her in a hamper… but I could be mistaken.

#11 Last April, Taylor decided to come home from UCSB for a few days for our parents’ birthdays (April 8th and 12th). She was coming in at midnight on the coaster, and she wanted her arrival to be a surprise for them. So I told my parents I was going to my buddy Tad’s house, and that I would return the next morning. Little did they know that I would be returned much earlier in the morning than they had expected. (Quick note: In my opinion, I was completely honest with them. I DID go to Tad’s house, and we returned with Taylor around 1 A.M. which is in the morning… so suck it). We returned back home and snuck to the front door. I quietly inserted my key, turned, and pushed the door. Nothing. Didn’t even budge. My father had locked the dead bolt on the door. Embarrassed and discouraged, we called the home phone, and woke up our dad. He came and unlocked the door, at which point Taylor weakly said “Surprise…” I know he was happy Taylor was home, but I think we were all expecting a slightly more… lighted welcome.

#10 I turned this spot over to my brother, Troy, so that he too could pay tribute to Taylor with his own story about her. Here are his exact words, “There once was a little girl named Taylor. She was very, very smart, and then she went to college. Then she went to Italy. She did lots and lots of stuff there. The end.” Nuff said.

#9 Let’s go back to 2001 for this one. Taylor and I were home alone with little Troy, taking care of him until our parents arrived home from work. It was our mom’s first day back at her job at the courthouse, following her maternity leave. Taylor asked me to make Easy Mac for Troy. I was 10 years old ok? Who asks a 10 year old to cook macaroni? Even the easy kind? Unsurprisingly, I forgot to add water to the dry noodles before I put them in the microwave. If anyone has ever put Easy Mac in the microwave without adding water… Oh just me? Well, it wasn’t pretty. It started to smoke and eventually the fire alarm went off and we fled to our neighbors’ house. Taylor was quick to accuse me of burning our house down, which is a gross exaggeration. I blame her for delegating that task to me. You can’t trust a 10 year old me with microwaves and stuff.

#8 Like every other kid on the face of the Earth, Taylor and I used to love Pokemon. We used to play Pokemon, we used to trade cards of Pokemon, we used to eat Pokemon (you heard me). But the one Pokemon-related thing we loved most was the animated TV show. For some reason, unbeknownst to us sane people, they scheduled it for like 5:00 AM. We used to make our parents wake us up at 4:45 every week day for at least 6 months (possibly longer) so that we could watch it (for all you youngin’s out there, this was in the days before DVRs and recording devices. If you missed it, you missed it). I remember one particular episode in which Ash (incidentally, the worst main character name ever) and the gang were looking to catch a ghost-type Pokemon. They went to a haunted building/tower and Charmander (incidentally, the cutest Pokemon ever) got his face licked by a Haunter (incidentally, the most disturbing Pokemon attack ever). Good times, good times.

#7 Anyone out there a Sister Hazel fan? Anyone heard the song, “All for you”? If anyone has an explanation as to how someone can sing that song WITHOUT a southern twang comparable to Billy Ray Cyrus after 14 Miller Lites, I would love to hear it. As our mutual friend Anna Plumlee can attest, Taylor and I do not hold back when this song comes on. If anyone needs a musical act for their wedding, bar mitzvah, or Super bowl party, do not hesitate to contact us.

#6 Growing up as an avid sports fan, many of the video games I played were sports-oriented. Taylor was not so interested in Madden or March Madness so I played against the CPU in most of those. However, there was (and is) a game that we agreed on wholeheartedly. A game that is right up there with the greatest of all time. A game which encompasses everything you could want. I speak, of course, of the Super Smash Bros. franchise. I can vividly remember one occasion on which we decided to partake in the pure chaos of a 99 life battle. I want to say it took us upwards of 150 minutes to complete the fight, with the outcome of a Blake victory (what were you expecting?) I had something like 146 kills in that fight (I say "something like" to appear humble or indifferent. In reality, I know it was EXACTLY 146), but of course Taylor had to taint it by saying that she became tired with the brawl and allowed me to win. A likely excuse.

#5 My favorite comedy TV show (and possibly my OUTRIGHT favorite) is undoubtedly Scrubs. I feel as though I know Zach Braff better than anyone in the world. And if I should ever run into him in real life and find out that he is not actually like that, my life will be ruined. Are you listening Zach? Ruined!!! Anyways, Taylor and I have seen every single episode they have made. We spent hours upon hours watching episodes back to back to back to back and revelling in the comedic genius. As we all know, anything is automatically 630% funnier if you have someone else laughing at it with you. It's just a fact. Except for Al Roker. Then it's 19400% funnier.

#4 Last summer, Taylor, myself, our mom, and the previously mentioned Anna Plumlee went to the Del Mar horse races. It was the first time I could place bets there... legally. And I was rearing to make me some money. I didn't do so well. I didn't even make it back to even. But Taylor, oh ho, Taylor made out quite nicely. She picked a few horses she liked in the 2nd race and decided she wanted to try a "Trifecta Box." Explanation is probably needed. A "Trifecta" is where you pick 3 horses to come in 1st, 2nd, and 3rd and they have to come in that EXACT order (Example: If you bet a 1,5,7 trifecta, a 1,5,7 finish is a win, a 5,1,7 finish is not). And a "Trifecta Box" is where you pick 3 horses, but they can come in first, second, and third in ANY order (Example: If you bet a 1,5,7 trifecta box, both a 1,5,7 finish and a 5,1,7 finish are wins). You may be asking yourself, so why wouldn't you ALWAYS do a trifecta box? Becuase my friends, if you enter in a $2 trifecta box, the computer places $2 on EACH combination for those 3 horses finishing in the top 3. So it becomes a $12 bet. This is exactly what Taylor did. She admitted afterwards that she did not want to spend $12 and that if she had known it was going to do that, she would NOT, I repeat NOT, have made the bet. And what should happen? She wins $900. No I'm not bitter.

#3 When Troy was just a little lad, he had one of those little yellow floaties babies can sit in in the pool. Just to clarify, Troy was not the bravest of kids, so he would not have done well in water by himself... Just pointing that out. Taylor decided it was either funny or intelligent (and I really hope it was the former) for her to hold Troy on her lap while SHE sat on top of the floatie. I told her not to, but did she listen? No. Mere seconds after she had positioned herself on the floatie, it slipped out from under her and she kinda flipped off. Sacrificing Troy to save herself, she dropped him into the pool FACE DOWN. He flapped there for a few seconds until someone had the COMMON SENSE to grab him (it was me, I was the one with common sense). Taylor is lucky he didn't drown that day.

#2 My first distinct memory. In our old house, the upstairs bathroom had two seperates doors. One connected it to our parents' bedroom, and the other to the hallway. We used to chase each other through the upstairs area and slam the bathroom doors behind us (in a very dangerous attempt at slowing the other down). One day, Taylor evidently thought it would be funny to lock the doors behind her, but not close them. Think about what happened when I (a 2 year old child) slammed the doors shut around me. They both locked. I tried opening the door to our parents' bedroom. Locked. I tried opening the one to the hallway. Locked. I possessed neither the intelligence nor hand-eye coordination to unlock the locks. I began to cry. Taylor, now appalled at what she had done, became panicked and naturally started vomiting (... don't look at me, I'm just recounting the story). Imagine our parents' surprise upon finding their children crying, one locked in the bathroom, and one vomitting uncontrollably. I assume that's one of the moments in which they regretted having children.

#1 You know what's coming Taylor. You have been dreading it the whole time. You have been wondering when this moment was going to show up on the list, but you haven't seen it yet. You know why? Because it is the single greatest moment we have ever had. I will never be so proud of you, as I was in that moment. A few years back, I invited my buddy Spencer Sheridan over to watch some football. This was during that awkward time when everyone actually thought "Your mom" jokes were funny. Spencer and I had been making them all afternoon and Taylor decided she had to get in on the action as well. She sat there, concentrating hard, waiting for the perfect moment. Spencer, in the act of going up the stairs to the kitchen, stumbled and Taylor pounced like a tiger. She blurted out "Your mom can't walk up stairs!"... Spencer's mom was paralyzed in a car crash and uses a walker. Ladies and gentlemen... Taylor Eaton!!!

Hope you had a great B-day, and I hope you enjoyed the memories as much as I did.

Much love,

Blake Eaton

NFL Week 14

Quick Picks:

INDY (-7) over Denver
MINNY (-7) over Cincy
TAMPA BAY (+3) over New York Jets
Buffalo (PK) over KANSAS CITY
Green Bay (-3) over CHICAGO
New Orleans (-10) over ATLANTA
Detroit (+13.5) over BALTIMORE
JACKSONVILLE (-2.5) over Miami
Carolina (+13.5) over NEW ENGLAND
Seattle (+6) over HOUSTON
St. Louis (+13) over TENNESSEE
Washington (-1) over OAKLAND
San Diego (+3) over DALLAS
Philadelphia (+1) over NEW YORK GIANTS
Arizona (-3.5) over SAN FRAN

Thursday, December 10, 2009

NFL Week 14 (Part 1)

First of all, I apologize for the spacing in my previous column. For some reason, it won't let me put spaces in between my paragraphs, but I guess I'll just have to live with it. Anyways, we have a game tonight - another rousing Thursday night matchup! Thank god I have the NFL Network so I can watch this barnburner.

Pittsburgh (-10) over CLEVELAND
If the Steelers are ever going to rip a team to shreds, it's in this game, isn't it? I don't like what I'm seeing from their D, what with their inability to close games, but I feel much more comfortable picking Pittsburgh, even with the double digit line. I would not be shocked if the Browns sneak out a cover (a la last week against my Chargers) but the Steelers are in much more of a must-win attitude. I don't expect them to let up in the 4th quarter.

Tuesday, December 8, 2009

Week 13 MIstakes

5-11

This is what happens when you become complacent. This is what happens when you think you have it all figured out. One week after my best week of the season, I lay an egg, which hatches into my worst week of the season. I put up a 3-11 on Sunday. I'm shocked right now. I'm in a daze. I have no excuses. None.

Somehow, I managed to get these games right:

New York Jets (-3) over BUFFALO 19-13
Denver (-4.5) over KANSAS CITY 44-13
Philadelphia (-5.5) over ATLANTA 34-7
St. Louis (+8.5) over CHICAGO 9-17
GREEN BAY (-3.5) over Baltimore 27-14
And somehow, I managed to get ALL of these wrong:
PITTSBURGH (-14.5) over Oakland
Score: OAK 27, PIT 24
What a weird game. Pittsburgh puts up 14 4th quarter points, and the defense can't hold off the Raiders offense? Come on! The Steelers had this game won 3 different times and the defense gave it away. Not only was it a home game, but these are the games that playoff teams win. I am a believer in the fact that any NFL team can beat another on the right day, they all have NFL talent. But these are the games the Steelers always win. And this season, they haven't been winning them.
Houston (PK) over JACKSONVILLE
Score: JAC 23, HOU 18
So the Houston Texans are done. That's all there is to it. The kingdom of Kubiak is crumbled as we speak. Matt Schaub just cannot get it done in clutch situations and the defense has not been as great as advertised. They just find ways to lose. They are THAT team.
Tennessee (+7) over INDIANAPOLIS (Ballsy Pick FAILED)
Score: IND 27, TEN 17
Well fine Colts. Obviously your defense is up to the task, and unless you just completely don't care about going 16-0, then you aren't going to lose a game. Not until the playoffs at least. In retrospect, I shouldn't put so much faith in the Titans. I think I wanted them to win more than I actually thought they would.


CINCINNATI (-13) over Detroit
Score: CIN 23, DET 13
I can't believe the Bengals D let the Lions roll right down the field and score at the end of the game. The outcome had already been decided. The Bengals were up by 17. What a garbage TD. What a garbage cover...
New Orleans (-9.5) over WASHINGTON
Score: NO 33, WAS 30
I'm still trying to figure out how the Saints won this game. Is there a concrete explanation? I don't think so. How many freak plays/bad calls were there that went the Saints way? I counted at least 3 (the Robert Meachum strip/fumble recovery/td, the 23-yard missed field goal (I mean come on, NO ONE misses 23-yard field goals), and the overtime fumble call that did not appear anywhere near indisputable to me. The point is, the Saints need to start showing up against these "middle of the pack" teams. They crush teams like New England, Philly, and New York, but are unable to put away teams like St. Louis, Washington, and Atlanta . It's mind-boggling.
Tampa Bay (+6) over CAROLINA
Score: CAR 16, TB 6
This is flipping ridiculous! I should have had this one. Josh Freeman threw 5 picks,3 of which occured inside the Carolina 25 yard line, and 1 which occured inside the Carolina FIVE yard line. Also, Connor Barth missed 2 completely makable field goals. The Buccaneers just live to ruin me.
San Diego (-13) over CLEVELAND
Score: SD 30, CLE 23
Calm down everyone. It is not a big deal that the Chargers only beat the Browns by 7. First of all, the game was in Cleveland, and nothing is more difficult for a West Coast team than traveling East a few time zones. Second, Brady Quinn was halfway decent in this game, which was a surprise. And third, the Chargers were up 24-7 after 3 quarters. The game was in hand. We just shut it down. We didn't try hard in the 4th quarter but I can live with it.
San Francisco (PK) over SEATTLE
Score: SEA 20, SF 17
Who gives a crap? Good for you Seahawks.
Minnesota (-3.75) over ARIZONA
Score: ARZ 30, MIN 17
Ummm... Whoops? Shouldn't underestimate the Cardinals, and shouldn't forget that Favre is Favre. End o' story.
Dallas (-2) over NEW YORK GIANTS
Score: NYG 31, DAL 24
I can see where I went wrong in this one. I didn't really factor in the "If there is a ever a game this season in which the Giants are going to put up one last fight, it's this one" thing. And that's exactly what happened. The Cowboys didn't make any huge mistakes or anything. The Giants just collected all the intensity they could for this division home game, and they really left it all on the field. I'm still pretty pessimistic about their playoff chances.
New England (-4) over MIAMI
Score: MIA 22, NE 21
What is happening to the Patriots? What the hell is happening?! Bill Belichick doesn't let this happen to his teams. Brady is throwing 4th quarter picks in the endzone. The defense can't stop Chad Henne at the end of the game. I thought the Patriots were well on their way to victory, but they just dissappeared in the second half. It was astonishing. This team better get it together quick because the Dolphins and Jets are both hot on their heels.
Overall Record: 100-90-2
Ballsy Pick of the Week Record: 9-3


Fantasy Update
League: WeLikeSportz
Lost to Team Brees (Current Record: 7-6)
No big deal, I made the playoffs as the 6th and final seed, and I am taking on Kyle (his team name has changed more than the public's view of Tiger Woods,so we'll just stick with his actual name) in round 1. And I am confident.
League: League of Imported Spirits
Lost to Steven (Current Record: 4-9)
Again, not a big deal. All 8 teams in this league are in the playoffs, so I qualified in last with a .307 winning percentage. All right! I don't necessarily see this as a bad thing. I am the underdog. No one believes in me. But I am going to come out and dethrone the 13-0 team Unicorns. Again, confident.

Saturday, December 5, 2009

NFL Week 13

I once again forgot to post my Thursday night pick for this week, but I did indeed choose the New York Jets to cover the 3 point spread over Buffalo. I figured that the Bills didn't truly get a home field advantage, seeing as the game was in Toronto, and the Jets are the better team to begin with.

So I'm off to a hot start this week. Let's keep it going with the rest of my week 13 selections:

Denver (-4.5) over KANSAS CITY
To my dismay, the Broncos looked decent on Thanksgiving. More than decent, really. They looked playoff worthy. I couldn't tell how much of it was actually the Broncos, and how much was the complete incompetence of the Giants. But either way, they should make easy work of the Chiefs. This line should probably be a little higher.

PITTSBURGH (-14.5) over Oakland
The last 3 number one draft picks of the Oakland Raiders (Jamarcus Russell, Darren McFadden, and Darrius Heyward-Bey) have a combined 4 touchdowns and 12 turnovers this year. And they just happen to be the 3 main players on the offense. Unlucky huh? And just to rub it in, here is a list of players who have more receptions than Heyward-Bey: Leonard Weaver, Mike Sellers, Justin Griffith, Gary Barnidge, Joey Haynos, Daniel Coats, J.P. Foschi, Chris Baker, and Michael Crabtree. That list consists of 3 fullbacks, 4 tight ends I have never heard of, the Patriots BACKUP tight end (whom I have heard of) and the wide receiver they should have picked. Bravo, Mr. Davis, bravo.


Houston (PK) over JACKSONVILLE
The dreaded even line. Who to pick? Houston has more good players. Jacksonville has the best player. The Texans have little to no pressure on them (because no one expects anything from them anymore). The Jaguars have everything to play for. It is as even a match up as you will get. So why have I picked Houston? Ummm... Ermm...... Hey look over there! It's a Tiger Woods Sex Scandal!

Tennessee (+7) over INDIANAPOLIS
I am all over the Titans in this one. Unfortunately, the Titans don't really have that "sneaky underdog" factor on their side, because EVERYONE is picking the Titans. They have the run game, they have the quarterback who just wins games, and they have the defense (a much different defense than the one that gave up 31 to the Colts in Tennessee). I am nearly 97% sure this game will be within a touchdown, and I have a strong feeling that the Titans are going to win. Ballsy Pick of the Week: TEN 34, IND 24.


Philadelphia (-5.5) over ATLANTA
If you haven't heard, there is a strong possibility that the Falcons will be without Matt Ryan, Michael Turner, Roddy White, and Michael Jenkins this week. If that is the case, the starting QB, RB, and top 2 WRs would be Chris Redman, Jason Snelling, Marty Booker, and Eric Weems. 16,000 Falcons fans just rammed ice picks into their skulls.


CINCINNATI (-13) over Detroit
The long-awaited return of Cedric Benson. I can not think of a better defense for him to come back to. I know I have made the "Bengals can't blow anyone out" argument, but I think it's time for us to accept that the Lions are just... awful. They are not as bad as last year, but they are not the young, scrappy team we hoped they would be. They just aren't.


New Orleans (-9.5) over WASHINGTON
Do I really need to say anything? Didn't think so.


Tampa Bay (+6) over CAROLINA
Jake Delhomme is out this week. You can look at this one of 2 ways. 1) Jake Delhomme has been awful, Matt Moore can't be much worse. This is probably a good thing for Carolina. Or 2) Jake Delhomme has been awful this year, and he remained in the starting role for 12 weeks. Obviously, the coaches aren't too high on Matt Moore. I am in the second camp.


St. Louis (+8.5) over CHICAGO
This is one of the most ridiculous lines in recent memory. Are we talking about the same Chicago Bears here? The ones who have Jay Cutler, right? Do you know how many Interceptions Jay Cutler has through 11 games? 20. Do you know how many QBs have more than that? ZERO! Do you know how many QBs have less than HALF of that? 22. And this is the team with Matt Forte too, yeah? The so-called number 2 fantasy running back in this year's draft? The one who is on pace for less than 800 yards and 5 TDs? How are they going to win by 9 points??? HOW???

San Diego (-13) over CLEVELAND
Mike Scifres is listed on the injury report with a "Left Groin" injury... Is that why he is such a good punter? He has the advantage of an extra groin? That hardly seems fair...

Minnesota (-3.75) over ARIZONA
Interesting story behind this line. The website I get them from usually displays 3 lines for each game. If one is different from the other 2, I ignore it and go with the majority. If all 3 are different, I use the average of them. For this particular game, they only displayed 2, -3.5 and -4. So naturally I averaged them and came up with -3.75... Deal with it! Regardless, I'm choosing the Vikings. Unless the line is over 2 scores, I'm taking the Vikings.

San Francisco (PK) over SEATTLE
I just don't like the Seahawks very much... or at all. What exactly is it that they do well? Anyone? I guess they have a solid run game but the pass attack has been mediocre. The defense has been mediocre. Olindo Mare is the definition of mediocre (Don't you throw his 90.5% field goal percentage at me, he hasn't made anything over 47. They have to get him inside the 30 to score). My point is, no one out there is saying "I like this Seahawks team". NO ONE.

Dallas (-2) over NEW YORK GIANTS
Are we not giving up on New York yet? What's the deal here? They suck. If I had to pick which New York team has the better chance of making the playoffs right now, I would honestly say the Jets. The Giants have completely lost it. They have come off the tracks. They are not coming apart at the seams, they have come apart at the seams. And 3 of their last 5 are against Dallas, Philly, and Minnesota. It's done. Stick a fork in them.


New England (-4) over MIAMI
The Patriots do not lose back-to-back games. It doesn't happen. The week after an embarrassing loss is the worst week to play the Patriots. So what happens the week after the most embarrassing Patriots loss of the decade? The biggest Patriots blowout of the decade?


GREEN BAY (-3.5) over Baltimore
Aaron Rodgers is quietly putting up pro-bowl numbers, while Joe Flacco is loudly demolishing the hopes of the city of Baltimore. The Ravens still get to play Chicago, Detroit, and Oakland. And they have a chance to prove themselves against Pittsburgh, IN Pittsburgh, week 16 (Oh come on last week did NOT count, they were playing against Dennis Dixon, who had never EVER taken an NFL snap before). However, they are currently on the outside looking in and I'm not sure they have it this year. I have much more faith in Green Bay with a healthy offensive line.

Tuesday, December 1, 2009

Week 12 Mistakes

11-5

Go ahead and let that soak in. An 11-win week. That's what I have been waiting for. You know what the secret is? This week, I didn't think about my picks as much as previous weeks, and I avoided most of the favorites who had a line of -10 or more. Also, I gave the 10-0 teams (especially the one playing at home) some well-desereved credit. In my opinion, the only things standing in the way of a Colts-Saints Superbowl are the Minnesota Vikings and the RED HOT San Diego Chargers. Seriously, I feel like we could take on anyone right now. Especially if everyone keeps ignoring Antonio Gates. I really can't believe people are still trying to cover him with a linebacker, or even a safety. It never works out well. Ever. You have to put a CB on this guy or he is going to destroy you. Not to mention the vertical threat of Jackson and Floyd. Plus, LT is rounding back into form. I don't see how this team is going to be stopped. I'm pretty jacked up about it. Can you tell?

Here are the ELEVEN games I got right:

Green Bay (-11.5) over DETROIT 34-12
DALLAS (-13.5) over Oakland 24-7
Indianapolis (-3.5) Over HOUSTON 35-27
CLEVELAND (+13.5) over Cincinnati 7-16
MINNESOTA (-11) over Chicago 36-10
Washington (+9) over PHILADELPHIA 24-27 (Ballsy Pick of the Week SUCCESSFUL)
TENNESSEE (-2.5) over Arizona 20-17
Tampa Bay (+12) over ATLANTA 17-20
SAN DIEGO (-13.5) over Kansas City 43-14
Pittsburgh (+8) over BALTIMORE 17-20
NEW ORLEANS (-2) over New England 38-17


Glorious, isn't it?


And the best part is, I only have to justify 5 incorrect picks!


New York Giants (-6.5) over DENVER
Score: DEN 26, NYG 6
What has happened to the Giants? After a blazing 5-0 start, the Giants have dropped 5 out of 6, narrowly scraping out a win against Atlanta 2 weeks ago. They have now fallen out of the playoff picture (trailing both Philadelphia and Green Bay by 1 game for a wild card spot), and they simply look completely out of sync. Is Plantar Fasciitis going to single-handedly destroy the Giants season? Check in next week for another thrilling installment!!!


Miami (-3) over BUFFALO
Score: BUF 31, MIA 14
What are the odds of the Bills outscoring the Dolphins 24-0 in the last 13:49? 17 bajillion to one? Higher? What are the odds of the Bills ever scoring 24 points in a single quarter? I know they aren't very good. What a freak of a game this was. My theory as to why the Dolphins fell apart: too much Chad Henne.


ST. LOUIS (+4) over Seattle
Score: SEA 27, STL 17
Steven Jackson had a bad back, ok? He can't do it all by himself. He's not Superman... right?

Carolina (+3) over NEW YORK JETS
Score: NYJ 17, CAR 6
Jake Delhomme strikes again!!!

Jacksonville (+3) over SAN FRANCISCO
Score: SF 20, JAC 3
I really hope the Jaguars don't make the playoffs. There is no way they should be in the top 6 of the AFC. I could name many more than 5 teams who are better than the Jaguars. They haven't played anyone, and they can't compete with mediocre teams like the 49ers (decent at BEST). I would rather see the Titans sneak in there. The Jaguars are just so blase.

Overall Record: 95-79-2
Ballsy Pick of the Week Record: 9-2

Fantasy Update:

League: WeLikeSportz
Defeated Team Snozzberries 110.42 - 95.5

Tom Brady 8.05
Steven Jackson 21.7
LeSean McCoy 15.27
Vincent Jackson 5
Mario Manningham 8.2
Calvin Johnson 8.67
Dustin Keller 6.53
David Akers 14
Vikings D 23

Current Record: 7-5 (4th place)

League: League of Imported Spirits
Lost to Team JC 152.24 - 73.96

Peyton Manning 23.56
Pierre Thomas 14.7
Michael Turner 3.3
Anquan Boldin 5.3
Andre Johnson 6.7
Hines Ward 4.7
T.J. Houshmandzadeh 1.4
Brent Celek 3.3
John Carney 8
Ravens D 3

Current Record: 4-8 (8th place)

Saturday, November 28, 2009

Steelers @ Ravens

Pittsburgh (+8) over BALTIMORE
Fingers crossed that Big Ben plays.

NFL Week 12

How about those Thanksgiving day games huh? Could we have picked 3 worse games this week? I'm really glad I got to sit back and watch 3 games that were so close and not decided within the first 30 minutes. It's becoming ridiculous. I don't want to see Detroit on Thanksgiving anymore. And I don't want to see Dallas at home, beating up on a bottom-dweller. Either give me a better team to replace Detroit, or give me a better team to rival Dallas. Something needs to change. I am utterly disappointed.

Anyways, I correctly picked 2 of the 3 games on Thanksgiving. I picked Green Bay (-11) due to the fact that I thought Stafford and Johnson weren't going to play. They did, but they were both mediocre, so there you go. I also picked Dallas (-13.5) because Oakland, despite showing up for 1 or 2 home games a year, NEVER plays well on the road. Period. Unfortunately, I picked the Giants (-6.5) because I hate Josh Poopy Face McDaniels (who shall be henceforth known simply by his middle names) and I really didn't know if the Broncos were going to win another game this season. To my dismay, Poopy Face had his defense ready to play and they won easily.What are you gonna do?

Here are the remaining 13 games on the week 12 docket:

Indy (-3.5) over HOUSTON
Does it worry me that the Texans were a Kris Brown field goal away from taking the Colts into overtime? Not at all. You know why? Because Kris Brown is arguably the worst clutch kicker ever. Has he ever made a game winning/tying field goal in the 4th quarter? I know he's 0/2 this season. And just like Brown, I don't trust the Texans, at all. I think they are done.

CLEVELAND (+13.5) over Cincy
The Browns scored 37 points last week, and even though they played Detroit, we know they at least have the physical ability to score. Cincinnati has only won 1 game by more than 10 points, and the last time they played the Browns (in Cincinnati, by the way), they needed 74 minutes and 53 seconds to beat them by just 3 points. The line is just too high.

MINNESOTA (-11) over Chicago
I will continue to pick the Vikings until they provide me with a reason not to.

Washington (+9) over PHILLY
Ballsy Pick of the Week. I think the Redskins are underrated, and I think the Eagles are overrated. It's simple mathematics. I would not be surprised to see the Redskins win this game outright. I just don't think the Eagles are as good as we want to believe.

Miami (-3) over BUFFALO
I feel like the weather in Buffalo is not going to affect the Dolphins like it does other warm-weather teams. The Dolphins don't need to pass the ball. They are probably the team that relies on it the least in the NFL. I also feel like there are very few teams that the Bills could beat right now... Maybe I could name 3, but that's a HUGE maybe.

TENNESSEE (-2.5) over Arizona
I'm liking what I'm seeing from Tennessee. I am completely terrified of Chris Johnson. I would rather see anyone else against my team. ANYONE. I would even rather see Adrian Peterson right now, the guy who put up 296 rushing yards against us. That's how much I fear Chris Johnson. Also, Kurt Warner has a concussion, which is very very bad for Arizona.

ST. LOUIS (+4) over Seattle
I like the Rams, ok? I have a man crush on Steven Jackson. He is going to single-handedly win this game. Just watch.

Tampa Bay (+12) over ATLANTA
I don't remember if I have officially jumped off the Falcons bandwagon... But if I haven't, I am doing so now.

Carolina (+3) over NYJ
I refuse to recognize this as a real NFL game. I won't do it. You can't make me.

Jacksonville (+3) over SF
The flipping Jacksonville Jaguars are going to be 7-4 after this week. I still don't understand how they got to this point. It doesn't add up. Where did they find the time to accumulate 6 wins in between all that mediocrity?

SAN DIEGO (-13.5) over Kansas City
The Chargers have now won 5 straight games and it would be considered base treachery if I decided to turn on them now. Do I really think they will cover in this game? I'm not sure. But I'm not going to pick against them.

Pittsburgh @ BALTIMORE does not yet have a line, which is weird because the game is happening TOMORROW. And I refuse to pick in any capacity until one has been established. I'll probably post it before game time tomorrow (5:30).

NEW ORLEANS (-2) over New England
They should have scheduled this game for the NFL Network Thanksgiving game. Holy hell, can you imagine how many more people would have watched it than the Broncos-Giants? Can you imagine how many people would have gone somewhere that has NFL Network to watch it? Can you imagine how many people would have PURCHASED something that carries NFL Network? This would have been great for them. I really want to see the NFL Network do well, because I love football (and Rich Eisen), but they have to start pulling these big name games. And don't worry, this game is going to be awesome. I give the edge to the Saints because they are at home, and if you have ever watched a Saints game, you know how much that team means to its fans. It's ridiculous. It's like Mardi Gras every week.

Tuesday, November 24, 2009

Week 11 Mistakes

8-8.

I am starting to lose my picking mojo. I have been waiting for a breakout week, maybe 12-4 or 11-5, but it never comes. I always end up somewhere around .500. I think my problem is that I get too wrapped up in the favorites, and I don't consider the line so much. It is hard to blow teams out in the NFL and most of the time, games come down to just a few possessions one way or the other. So basically, I need to stop picking these huge lines when I know full-well that a team could be up 17 in the 4th quarter and just turn off the burners. They could end up winning by 3. They might pull their starters, or stop throwing the ball. That's how the NFL works.
Anyways, I did get half the games right:

Indianapolis (-1) over BALTIMORE 17-15
San Francisco (+6.5) over GREEN BAY 24-30
MINNESOTA (-11) over Seattle 35-9
Washington (+11) over DALLAS 6-7 (Ballsy Pick of the Week SUCCESSFUL)
New Orleans (-11.5) over TAMPA BAY 38-7
NEW ENGLAND (-10) over New York Jets 31-14
San Diego (-3) over DENVER 32-3
Philadelphia (-3) over CHICAGO 24-20

On the other hand, I got half the games wrong too:

CAROLINA (-3) over Miami
Score: MIA 24, CAR 17
I already kind of explained this one. I knew the Panthers were awful. I should have stuck with my gut feeling.

DETROIT (-3.5) over Cleveland
Score: DET 38, CLE 37
I don't even care that I missed this one, what a game it was. Two of the worst teams in the NFL, both 1-8, playing theirs hearts out in Detroit. The outcome of this game was practically meaningless. No one was watching. No one really cared. But boy did Matthew Stafford show us something. All of a sudden, his future looks much, much brighter.

JACKSONVILLE (-8.5) over Buffalo
Score: JAC 18, BUF 15
Just a lousy game. But Jacksonville continues to win. Don't look now but they are 6-4 and deeply entrenched in the playoff race. They could be the Miami Dolphins of 2009.

Pittsburgh (-10) over KANSAS CITY
Score: KC 27, PIT 24
.... Oops? You have to cut Pittsburgh a little slack because both Roethlisberger and Batch were injured in the game, but they shouldn't even have been in that situation late in the game.

NEW YORK GIANTS (-6.5) over Atlanta
Score: NYG 34, ATL 31
I still don't know what to think about these teams. The Giants won so I do have to give them the slight advantage here. But I still don't know if either of these teams makes the playoffs at this point. Right now they are both looking in from the outside (sitting at the 7th and 8th spots in the NFC) and does Eli have enough to make a late run? Will Michael Turner be healthy enough? We will have to wait and see.

Cincinnati (-9) over OAKLAND
Score: OAK 20, CIN 17
I feel like I owe Edward an apology for calling him out over this pick... However, he's not going to get one. This was a freak game. The Bengals were missing Cedric Benson, and they should have won the game regardless. They played down to Oakland's level, not the other way around. I don't know if they were looking ahead, past the Raiders, or if they were just flying too high after sweeping both Pittsburgh and Baltimore, but come on! These are the games that Superbowl contenders win. Period.

Arizona (-9) over ST. LOUIS
Score: ARZ 21, STL 13
If Warner hadn't gone down, the Cardinals wold have covered. That's all there is to it.

HOUSTON (-4.5) over Tennessee
Score: TEN 20, HOU 17
I think the Texans are done. They show no heart out there on the field. They find ways to lose every close game they play. They have so much talent on the team, and yet it never comes together in the clutch. I don't see them in the playoffs this year. As for the Titans, they are still written off in my mind. I know they have righted the ship and are only a few games out of contention, but they haven't really beaten anyone, and I think they just dug too big of a hole to climb out of.

Overall Record: 84-74-2
Ballsy Pick of the Week Record: 8-2


Fantasy Update:

League: WeLikeSportz
Defeated Team Eric Peck 131.49 - 123.88
Tom Brady 23.4
Steven Jackson 20.6
Steve Slaton 15.9
Vincent Jackson 7.73
Calvin Johnson 25.73
Hakeem Nicks 9.33
Fred Davis 3.7
David Akers 6.1
Vikings D 19

Record: 6-5 (5th place)

League: League of Imported Spirits
Lost to Team Unicorns 135.76 - 88.81
Peyton Manning 13.86
Anquan Boldin 16.3
Andre Johnson 13.8
Pierre Thomas 10.3
Fred Jackson 8.65
Brent Celek 3.5
Johnny Knox 6.45
Steve Breaston 0.95
John Carney 8
Ravens D 7

Record: 4-7 (7th place)

Don't worry, I'm gonna make the playoffs no matter what.



I am picking the Packers (-11), Cowboys (-13.5), and Giants (-6.5) on Thanksgiving, and I will explain why during the regular post on Saturday. Happy Thanksgiving everyone!






Saturday, November 21, 2009

NFL Week 11 (Part 2)

I knew the Panthers sucked. I knew it! Why did I let them suck me in? If you can't beat a Ronnie Brown-less Dolphins team, you have some serious defensive issues.

Anyways, I'm off to a 0-1 start this week so I better make these next 15 picks REALLY good.

DETROIT (-3.5) over Cleveland
It is much easier for me to see Calvin Johnson having a big game here than Muhammad Massaquoi. Enough said.

JACKSONVILLE (-8.5) over Buffalo
The Jaguars have very quietly started off 5-4 this year. If the season ended today, they would have the 7th best record in the AFC, missing the playoffs by a single game. We have to give them some respect, and their remaining schedule is not that challenging. They do have to play Indy and New England in weeks 15 and 16, but the other 5 games are home for Houston, Miami, and Buffalo and @ San Fran, @ Cleveland. Those are all winable games. They could conceivably be 10-6 come January, and with the way the Broncos and Ravens are going, I'm not so sure 10-6 isn't enough for a wild card.

Pittsburgh (-10) over KANSAS CITY
The Steelers are going to erupt in this game. Mark my words. They will get back to the groung attack that has served them well for decades with Mendenhall, and the defense will be all over Cassel from the get-go. I don't think this game is going to be close. It might be over at half time.

Indianapolis (-1) over BALTIMORE
No no no no no! What has this world come to? Is anyone aware of Indianapolis' record this season? Anyone? It's 9-0. They haven't lost yet. At all. Not one time. And we are saying they haven't done enough to warrant a 3 point spread every week? How can we say that after the events of last Sunday night? HOW? I don't understand. I really don't.

NEW YORK GIANTS (-6.5) over Atlanta
I don't know what to think of these teams. Both of them had such high expectations early in the season. Both have stalled terribly of late. And both have had injury problems that remain unresolved. I'm thinking the Giants are more likely to get going than the Falcons. I don't know why...

San Francisco (+6.5) over GREEN BAY
Do we believe in the Packers now? After one game? Not enough for me. I don't see why any of their problems are fixed. Is the offensive line all good now? Is the running game set now? I don't think so. I think 6.5 is far too high.

MINNESOTA (-11) over Seattle
I am tired of picking against Brett Favre and Adrian Peterson. It's that simple. Also, I don't believe in Seattle as a contender.

Washington (+11) over DALLAS
Is this the same Dallas team that lost by double digits to Green Bay last week? Then why are they laying 11 points? Washington is not that bad. They beat a 6-2 team last week (albeit with Chris Simms at the helm) and I can't believe I'm saying this, but.... Jason Campbell is underrated. Ballsy Pick of the Week: WAS 27, DAL 24.

New Orleans (-11.5) over TAMPA BAY
The Saints have not covered the last 3 weeks. And they barely covered against Miami (a game in which they trailed by 600 points in the 2nd quarter) That worries me. They have had a real problem stopping the run. However, in the past 4 games, they have faced the likes of Ronnie Brown/Ricky Williams, Michael Turner, DeAngelo Williams/Jonathan Stewart, and Steven Jackson. If that isn't being run through the gauntlet, I don't know what is. This week it's Cadillac Williams/Derrick Ward. Can you say blowout?

Arizona (-9) over ST. LOUIS
Once again, this line means nothing to me. And once again, I feel like this is one of the games that Arizona needs to show up for. The NFC West should be theirs by now, and if they put away these easy divisional games, they will have it sooner rather than later.

NEW ENGLAND (-10) over New York Jets
OOOOOH, I would not want to be the Jets in this game. Not one bit. I wouldn't want to be a Jets player, I wouldn't want to be a Jets coach. I wouldn't want to be a Jets fan, a Jets employee, or a member of the Jets from West Side Story. I can't see how this results in anything but a Patriots blowout. Look at the circumstances. The Patriots are coming off what has to be one of the worst losses in history, based on who it was against, where it was played, how it transpired, and the circumstances surrounding it. The Jets look awful after that great start they had. They have fallen to 4-5. They can't beat anyone who isn't Oakland, and I have no reason to think they are still in the playoff hunt. Also, the Jets talked an awful lot of smack after they beat the Pats back in September, which means we will probably see Brady throwing bombs to moss, late in 4th quarter, up by 38. Do not be surprised.

Cincinnati (-9.5) over OAKLAND
Edward ridiculed me for taking Cleveland (+11) against Baltimore. Granted I lost, but I stand behind that pick and refuse to accept that it was that bad. Well the tables have turned this week. Edward has chosen the Oakland Raiders, yes THOSE Oakland Raiders, to cover in this game. I think this pick is approximately 1 kajillion times worse. The Bengals are going to win the AFC North. It's time for us to accept that. With tiebreakers, they have a 2 game lead over Pittsburgh, and a 3 game lead over Baltimore. And do you want to hear their schedule from here on out? @ Oakland, Vs. Cleveland, Vs. Detroit, @ Minnesota, @ San Diego, Vs. Kansas City, @ NY Jets. At the LEAST, we are looking at 12-4. Maybe even 13-3. This team is very, very good. Oakland is awful. You do the math.

San Diego (-3) over DENVER
Doesn't this situation remind you a lot of week 17 of last year? I know, right? It's sort of uncanny, isn't it?

Philadelphia (-3) over CHICAGO
JAY CUTLER SUCKS!!!!

HOUSTON (-4.5) over Tennessee
Much better game than it would have been 4 weeks ago. Of course, I'm worried about Chris Johnson, but I feel like Houston can counter him with Schaub/Slaton/Moats/Johnson. And if the defense shows up just a bit, they should be able to rattle Vince Young into making some mistakes. Good game though.

Fantasy Time:

WeLikeSportz: Tom Brady, Steven Jackson, Steve Slaton, Vincent Jackson, Calvin Johnson, Hakeem Nicks, Fred Davis, David Akers, Vikings D

League of Imported Spirits: Peyton Manning, Pierre Thomas, Fred Jackson, Andre Johnson, Anquan Boldin, Johnny Knox, Steve Breaston, Brent Celek, John Carney, Ravens D





Thursday, November 19, 2009

NFL Week 11 (Part 1)

Just wanted to make sure I got my Thurday night pick out there before the game starts.

CAROLINA (-3.5) over Miami
Can't you hear the sound of 30,000 people simultaneously jumping off the Dolphins bandwagon? The Dolphins no longer have any talented players left on the available roster. Ricky Williams has been a nice sidekick to Ronnie Brown but I can't see him effectively running the wildcat. The only thing that scares me is the possibility of Pat White in the wildcat, which would be a rushing downgrade from Brown, but a legitimate passing upgrade as well. As for the Panthers, it appears that they are on the upswing right now. No one can stop their running attack and Jake Delhomme has scaled back the whole turnover thing. Look for a big night from Jonathan Stewart tonight with Williams a little banged up.

Tuesday, November 17, 2009

Week 10 Mistakes

8-6-1

Another week above .500, I'll take it. I had work on Sunday so I did not watch any of the games live, but I taped the Chargers-Eagles game and the Colts-Pats game, and they did not disappoint. The Chargers got out to a big lead and held off a late Eagles comeback to win 31-23 and climb up into a first place tie with Denver, who had lost to Washington earlier. So that made me happy. At this point, it was about 11:00 and I was debating if I wanted to watch the Sunday night game or not. I decided I would since I had no reason to get up early the next day. Once I got to the 4th quarter and the Patriots went up 31-14, I was ready to pack it in. It was almost 1:00 am and I was having difficulty keeping my eyes open. Thankfully, I continued to fight sleep and watch the apparent blowout, probably because I knew the Colts would make a run. By the time 4th and 2 on the 28 came around, I was wide awake, screaming at the TV and Bill Belichick. You knew the Colts were going to score once they got the ball on the 29 yard line. Everyone knew. If you thought the Patriots were going to hold, then you are either a New England native or an insane person.

Now, some people have defended Belichick's decision. I am not one of them. I know it was a bad decision becuase even if it had worked out, I still would have thought it was a bad move. I can understand his thinking to a degree... but I wouldn't even have gone for it in madden, let alone in a real life game. And if I HAD gone for it, I wouldn't have thrown a 2-yard out to my backup RB. Stupid play-call.

However, I am not going to blame the entire loss on that one play. The Patriots were up 31-14 in the 4th quarter, and they took their foot off the accelerator. They let the Colts drive right down and score (31-21). They then took just 4 minutes off the clock and were forced to punt. They even got a pick off of Manning, an apparent dagger at the time) that set them up at the Colts' 30. They used just 3 minutes and settled for a field goal (34-21). So we have about 4 minutes left (ages and ages for Peyton Manning). The Colts go down and score in under 2 minutes (34-28). Now the Pats are getting a little nervous, who wouldn't be? They get the ball back with 2:23 left and promptly lay a big fat egg right there on the field. 4 plays, 9 yards, 23 seconds off the clock, and a turnover on downs. And the rest is history.

I don't know who was wearing those white uniforms in the 4th quarter, but it was not the New England Patriots.

But I digress, Belichick has taken enough beating.

Here are the games I picked correctly:

SAN FRANCISCO (-3.5) over Chicago
Jacksonville (+7) over NEW YORK JETS 24-22
Cincinnati (+7) over Pittsburgh 18-12
TENNESSEE (-6) over Buffalo 41-17
Tampa Bay (+10) over MIAMI 23-25
ARIZONA (-8.5) over Seattle 31-20
SAN DIEGO (-2.5) over Philadelphia 31-23
New England (+3) over INDIANAPOLIS 34-35

And this game was a push:

Detroit (+17) over MINNESOTA 10-27

Here is where I didn't do so hot:

Denver (-3.5) over WASHINGTON
Score: WAS 27, DEN 17
What have we learned here? The Broncos aren't quite as good as we thought, and Chris Simms isn't good at all. Moving on.

New Orleans (-13.5) over St. Louis
Score: NO 28, STL 23
I knew this was going to happen! I knew Jackson was going to run wild! Dang it...

Atlanta (-1.5) over CAROLINA
Score: CAR 28, ATL 19
So the Panthers are good now? Or what? It would be nice if teams that start out like crap, keep playing like crap. It would make my life much easier.

OAKLAND (-1.5) over Kansas City
Score: KC 16, OAK 10
Why am I not surprised?

Dallas (-3) over GREEN BAY
Score: GB 17, DAL 7
Look at what happens? I basically write off the Packers on Saturday, and then this?? This was one of the games I was more sure this week, nay, this season. On the other hand.... I'm glad my Superbowl pick isn't totally embarrassing me.

CLEVELAND (+11) over Baltimore (Ballsy Pick of the Week FAILED)
Score: BAL 16, CLE 0
I refuse to admit that this was a bad pick. I stand behind it 100% The Browns defense was fantastic in this game. They gave up 7 legitimate points in the game. 6 were scored on a Brady Quinn INT returned for a TD (extra point was blocked by Sean Rogers... which surprises no one). And they gave up a field goal only because Quinn threw another pick and subsequently drew a 15-yard illegal block penalty, giving the Ravens the ball at the 24. If the Browns could have just mustered one measly TD, I would have been golden. But no! I blame Eric Mangini. I blame him for everything that goes wrong.

Quick Note: I didn't post my Week 1 picks, but I did make them. I went 8-8... you are just going to have to believe me.

Overall Record: 76-66-2
Ballsy Pick of the Week Record: 7-2

No fantasy update for you this week. Vincent Jackson and Cedric Benson had a combined 4 points, you can probable figure out how my fantasy weekend was...

Saturday, November 14, 2009

NFL Week 10

I completely forgot that I needed to do this post before the Thursday night game, but I did in fact choose San Francisco (-3.5) to cover against Chicago. I have witnesses, 2 of them actually. My reasoning? The Bears are awful. There you go. Quick Note: Do you think the NFL Network is pissed that their first Thursday game of the season was arguable the worst football game EVER? I would think so.

As for the rest of the games, here's how I'm feeling:

Jacksonville (+7) over NEW YORK JETS
Is it time to start worrying about the Sanchise? Is the hostile, unforgiving New York crowd getting to him? Did we all jump on the "Rex Ryan, defensive genius" bandwagon just a teensy bit too soon? Yes. Yes. And a resounding, unequivocal yes. Something is not right with this Jets team. And I am much more frightened of Maurice Jones-Drew than the Jets defense at this point

Denver (-3.5) over WASHINGTON
All these Chargers fans want me to believe that Denver is going to lose this game. It's not going to happen, ok? It's the Redskins, arguably the most dysfunctional team in the NFL (definitely in the NFC, Oakland or Cleveland might edge them out for the overall title). They just aren't good enough to beat Denver. Clinton Portis is out and Ladell Betts is currently listed as questionable with an ankle injury. So who is going to run the ball for Washington? Rock Cartwright? (Incidentally, the coolest name ever)

Cincinnati (+7) over PITTSBURGH
I can no longer deny the talent of the Bengals. That is a top 10 football team. Who saw that coming before the season??? They are playing well on both sides of the ball, they are beating good teams (3 combined wins over Baltimore and Pittsburgh already this season), and they always seem to keep games close. They don't let games get away from them. Also, Cedric Benson has to be the comeback player of the year right now, right? Can we get them on a night game sometime?

TENNESSEE (-6.5) over Buffalo
I don't know what to do here... All of a sudden the Titans look like the 13-3 team of 2008. Chris Johnson is just a destroyer of worlds. I think he may have had a rush of under 50 yards last week, but I could be wrong. On the other hand, the only thing the Bills can claim is that they are not yet mathematically eliminated from the playoffs, but believe me that train is coming and it is coming fast. I guess I'll take Tennessee... I don't know.

Detroit (+17) over MINNESOTA
17 points is too high.

New Orleans (-13.5) over ST. LOUIS
13.5 points is too low.

Atla
nta (-1.5) over CAROLINA
Originally, I scoffed at this line. The lowly Panthers? Just 1.5 points? Ridiculous! But once I actually thought about it, this line really isn't that crazy. The Panthers have played pretty well the last 2 weeks (mainly because they realized that they have a deadly combo of RBs and Jake Delhomme sucks) and were a 2nd half defensive meltdown away from dethroning the undefeated Saints. Also, the Falcons have not been spectacular at run defense. However, I'm still gonna stick with Atlanta. I just think they are better.

Tampa Bay (+10) over MIAMI
What the hell has Miami done to deserve a 10 point line? Seriously, give me one thing. It doesn't matter that everyone thinks they are the best 3-5 team in the history of the NFL, at a certain point you have to just accept that they are, in fact, 3-5. They have beaten Buffalo (whoop-de-freakin-doo) and the Jets twice (by 4 points in week 5 and 5 points in week 8). Don't expect a blowout, kiddies.

OAKLAND (-1.5) over Kansas City
Does anyone care? Anyone out there care about this one at all? Good let's move on.

ARIZONA (-8.5) over Seattle
The line in this game means absolutely nothing. I'm serious, it could be -31 and it wouldn't make a difference. The only thing that matters is which Cardinals team shows up for the game. If you get the 2008 playoff run Cardinals, then there's no contest. It's over. They could win by 50. But, if you get the "crap in the bed" Cardinals (see week 1, 3, and 8 of this season) then they could be down 24-6 at halftime. I am inclined to believe that we will see the former this weekend. If they aren't gonna get up for a division game against the only other possible threat in said division, what are they gonna get up for?

SAN DIEGO (-2.5) over Philadelphia
Have I mentioned that the Eagles lost to the Raiders in week 6? I'm not making this up. I swear.

Dallas (-3) over GREEN BAY
I don't know how much longer we can defend the Packers. "The O-line just needs to get healthy," "No one was getting open for Aaron Rodgers," "Ryan Grant just needs to get going." I'm afraid they just aren't any good. Combine that with the Cowboys' 4-game win streak, and this one seems pretty simple to me.

New England (+3) over INDIANAPOLIS
Game of the year. I don't care what happens later in the season. I don't care if the Patriots go into the Superdome with the chance to end the Saints run at perfection. If you aren't excited by the mere thought of this match up, then you don't have a pulse. Go see your doctor, it could be serious. Anyways, I am all over the Patriots in this game. I think the Pats are just now hitting their stride, while the Colts seem to be slipping just a bit. They haven't lost but they have been close to doing so against the 49ers and Texans the last 2 weeks. I think it comes to a screeching halt this week, that 483 game regular season win streak the Colts have, or whatever it is.

CLEVELAND (+11) over Baltimore
This is easily the ballsiest pick. Of the week? No. Of the year? Getting warmer. EVER? YES! My buddy Edward told me that this was the worst pick he has ever heard. It is unfortunate that he is so sorely mistaken. Look at the facts. The Ravens are 4-4. FACT. You can't deny that they have been a huge disappointment. They have been swept by the Bengals. FACT. They couldn't even beat them at home. That just isn't going to cut it for the Ravens. Their defense has more holes in it than Andy Reid's diet plans (why do I keep picking on the poor guy?... I just can't help it). And while I have zero expectation of a Cleveland victory, they are at home and this is basically Brady Quinn's last chance to prove himself. This game, a Monday night game, with the entire country watching, is his "contract season," if you will. It is now or never for Quinn, that's got to count for something.

Fantasy Time:

WeLikeSportz: Tom Brady, Cedric Benson, Steven Jackson, Vincent Jackson, Calvin Johnson (officially upgraded to probable), Michael Crabtree (7.3 points on Thursday), Fred Davis, David Akers, Vikings D

League of Imported Spirits: Peyton Manning, Hines Ward, Anquan Boldin, Michael Turner, Pierre Thomas, T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Johnny Knox (2.6 points on Thursday), Brent Celek, John Carney (New addition!), Ravens D




Wednesday, November 11, 2009

Week 9 Mistakes

7-6

Not bad, not bad. Any time I'm over .500, I really shouldn't complain. This season has proven to be as random and difficult to pick as any season in recent history. Some years (e.g. 2007), there was no reason not to pick the Patriots, Colts, and Steelers EVERY week. Now, I have to wonder if they are going to be able to beat the Dolphins or Texans or Broncos by enough points. It's ridiculous. Completely ridiculous.

Here are the games I got right:

- Kansas City (+6.5) over JACKSONVILLE 21-24 (I forgot to make a Ballsy Pick but this definitely would have been it... I swear...... It's my blog, I can do what I want!)
- ATLANTA (-10) over Washington 31-17
- Arizona (+3) over CHICAGO 41-21
- SEATTLE (-10) over Detroit 32-20
- San Diego (+5) over NEW YORK GIANTS 21-20
- Dallas (+3) over PHILADELPHIA 20-16
- Pittsburgh (-3) over DENVER 28-10 (Do you hear those footsteps, Broncos? DO YA???)

And here are the games that let me down... like always...

Baltimore (-3) over CINCINNATI
Score: CIN 17, BAL 7
Did I say the Ravens would be good this year? I don't think I said that. You must be confusing me with someone else. But seriously, who saw this 6-2 start for the Bengals coming? Especially that defense! My goodness, that is a top-notch defense. And Cedric Benson! That is a top-notch running back. Two 100 yard-games against the Ravens defense. That hasn't happened since 348 A.D. I don't know if they can beat out the Steelers for the division, but I can definitely see them as the 5 seed.

INDIANAPOLIS (-9) over Houston
Score: IND 20, HOU 17
Oh Kris Brown, you pitiful man. This had to be the most important game in Texans franchise history, and you RUINED it. You have to make that kick. There is no other option. That is the kind of kick that separates the Vinatieri's from the Vanderjact's.

Green Bay (-9.5) over TAMPA BAY
Score: TB 38, GB 28
I have realized that there is always one game each week (just 1, not more) in which I make such a terrible pick, such an awful attempt at competency, that all I can say about it is, "whoops." This is that game...

NEW ENGLAND (-10.5) over Miami
NE 27, MIA 17
Why am I not seeing any intensity from the Patriots? Where did all that go? I really thought they were going to explode in this one. A home game against a team that has only one redeeming quality, that being its running game. And the Patriots have always been able to take away the thing you do best. They did force Henne to throw 34 times, but they couldn't force him into any making any mistakes. The Dolphins were able to run it well enough when it mattered. They just ended up trailing late in the game, so they didn't have the option to run. This was just a 7 point game late in the 4th quarter and one break for Miami could have led to overtime. I worry about these Patriots, I just don't know if they have... it.

NEW ORLEANS (-13.5) over Carolina
NO 30, CAR 20
What is up with the Saints early in football games? I really don't get it. They have no defense, they turn the ball over, Drew Brees looks like he thinks he's still in San Diego (I'm not bitter), and before you can blink, they are down 17-3 late in the first half. Against Carolina. The Panthers. And Jake Delhomme. Ugh. How does that happen? But then, in the second half, they are un-freaking-touchable. You can't stop the offense, the defense gives up N-O-T-H-I-N-G, NOTHING. After a 100+ yard first half, DeAngelo Williams had less than 50 in the second half. It's not like they went away from him, said, "Here Jake, throw it all over the place." No, he just couldn't do anything. The Saints can't keep playing like this and get away with it. They will lose if they don't show up for the half the game. Mark my words.

SAN FRANCISCO (-4) over Tennessee
Score: TEN 34, SF 27
Well, well, well. It appears we have witnessed somewhat of a role reversal here. A few weeks ago, the 49ers were a Brett Favre miracle TD away from being undefeated, whereas the Titans were losing by 59 points, and had a TOTAL of -7 yards passing in a game (I don't make this stuff up). Now, the Titans look like the team of 2008, and the 49ers are floundering, like a fish out of water. I'm telling you, weird football season.

Overall Record: 60-52-1
Ballsy Pick of the Week Record: 7-1

Fantasy Update:

League: WeLikeSportz
Defeated Team Johnny 106.2 - 102.38

Tom Brady 25.1
Cedric Benson 18.7
Steve Slaton 11.5
Vincent Jackson 20.47
Michael Crabtree 5.1
Calvin Johnson 3.8
Fred Davis 3.73
David Akers 15
Packers D 2.8

I would just like to point out that I was trailing by approximately 12 points going into the Sunday night game between the Eagles and Cowboys. I needed 12 points out of my kicker, or I was toast. It didn't look good. But as you can see, good old David Akers came through with 3 field goals (all over 40 yards, one over 50 yards) and I pulled out my 3rd consecutive victory.

Current Record: 5-4 (5th place)

League: League of Imported Spirits
Defeated Team Pearly Gates 124.72 - 89.68

Peyton Manning 16.92
Andre Johnson 10.3
Hines Ward 16.4
Michael Turner 30
Pierre Thomas 15.05
Brent Celek 9.9
T.J. Houshmandzadeh 9.4
Johnny Knox 5.75
Kris Brown 7
Ravens D 4

Look at that big 5 right there. Mmmmm... Tasty.

Current Record: 4-5 (4th place)

Saturday, November 7, 2009

NFL Week 9

We have just about reached the halfway point in the NFL season. Some teams have ascerted their dominance (Colts and Saints), while some teams have ascerted their incompetence (Rams, Buccs, Titans, Lions, etc. etc.). But then there is the middle group. The teams that are 3-4 or 4-3, or maybe even 5-2, the teams that we just can't be sure about. This group encompasses nearly 50% of the league. It's basically anyone who is in 2nd or 3rd in their division (with the exception of the Oakland Raiders, who have no place being a 3rd place team) and right now it looks like most of them are fighting for 4 total wild card spots. It's going to ugly very quickly.

Anyways, here are my week 9 picks, hope you enjoy:

(Home team in CAPS)

Kansas City (+6.5) over JACKSONVILLE
Ummm... yeah... so there!

Baltimore (-3) over CINCINNATI
I still don't trust the Bengals. I am much more inclined to believe that the Ravens will pull it together and start crushing people on defense again. All the pieces are still there. True, the pieces are aging quickly, but they are still in place. Also, I do believe that, at some point, the Bengals are going to implode and return to 2008 form. I still maintain that the Steelers and Ravens are the creme de la creme of that division.

INDIANAPOLIS (-9) over Houston
I am punishing Gary Kubiak for benching my star fantasy RB. So maybe Steve Slaton has been having some fumbling issues. You sit him for a series or 2, not the whole game! And now you announce that we are going to see a 3 back rotation with Slaton, Ryan Moats, and Chris Brown (not be confused with criminal/recording artist Chris Brown). How dare you, Kubiak. How dare you.

ATLANTA (-10) over Washington
I see no reason to pick the Redskins. None whatsoever. You can't even use the "coming off a bye week" argument because they have been taking byes since week 4. They should be completely fresh by now, exerting no effort for 4 weeks. On the other hand, the Falcons were a tipped pass that was intercepted in the red zone, and better clock management in the last 2 minutes from taking the Saints to overtime. They had heaps and heaps of momentum at the end of the game, and if they had played another quarter, I think they win by 14 points.

Green Bay (-9.5) over TAMPA BAY
I don't think the Buccs are the worst team in football. Obviously they are in the bottom 5, but I don't think I would pick them to lose in every conceivable match-up. Like if they had played the Lions last week, without Calvin Johnson, or if they played the Rams, I would take them in a heartbeat. Unfotunately, their schedule has been rather unkind to them and they really don't have many opportunities left. That being said... I don't think this is the week. The Packers need it too much.

Arizona (+3) over CHICAGO
This has got to be, by far, the most difficult game to pick EVER. These 2 teams have been all over the place. One week they are beating a playoff team, next week they are down big to Carolina or Cincinnati. I don't get it. So I'm taking the points with Arizona because it makes my odds of winning just a tiny bit higher. That's really it.

NEW ENGLAND (-10.5) over Miami
I will continue to choose the Patriots until then give me a reason not to. Not to mention, the Dolphins could not get their offense going at all. If Ted Ginn Jr. doesn't shred up the Jets special teams... TWICE, the Dolphins don't win that game.

NEW ORLEANS (-13.5) over Carolina
I'm loving that extra half point the Saints are getting right there. Can the Saints win by 14? Of course they can. Can they win by more than 14? Well I don't know. Fortunately, I don't need to address that conundrum. Thank you, oddsmakers.

SEATTLE (-10) over Detroit
We still aren't sure if Calvin Johnson is playing this week, so it's sort of difficult to decide on this one. I'm just gonna go ahead and pick the Seahawks because I fell like they should win the game either way. They have to beat teams like Detroit if they are going to have any kind of playoff run.

SAN FRANCISCO (-4) over Tennessee
Have people forgotten about the first 6 weeks of the Titans season? How can the 49ers only be giving 4 points at home against a 1-6 team who's starting QB might off himself right there on the field if he throws a pick. The line should be at least a touchdown. Easy game to pick.

San Diego (+5) over NEW YORK GIANTS
Pshh. I scoff at this line. Do you hear that line? You are being scoffed at. The Giants are coming apart at the seems worse than Andy Reid's sportscoat. Their secondary is letting guys run wide open down the field, and Philip Rivers WILL find them if that happens. Also, it turns out when Eli Manning was 11 years old, he tragically lost his arm in a windsurfing accident, and the only thing they had to replace it with was a wet noodle. How many INTs in this game Pasta Bravo? 3? 4?

Dallas (+3) over PHILADELPHIA
The Eagles lost to the Raiders. It happened. One doesn't forget.

Pittsburgh (-3) over DENVER
Come on Steelers! COME ON!!!!!!!!!!

Fantasy Time:

WeLikeSportz - Tom Brady, Cedric Benson, Steve Slaton/Ryan Moats, Vincent Jackson, Calvin Johnson, Michael Crabtree, Fred Davis, David Akers, Packers D

I haven't decided which Houston RB to start yet, ok? I don't know what to do. I HATE Gary Kubiak.

League of Imported Spirits - Peyton Manning, Michael Turner, Pierre Thomas, Andre Johnson, Hines Ward, Brent Celek, T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Johnny Knox, Kris Brown, Ravens D

Tuesday, November 3, 2009

Week 8 Mistakes

5-8

I got a little cocky after last week and the football Gods decided I needed a good smacking. Right to the face. They pounded me just like Tom Cable pounds... powdered donuts (didn't see THAT coming, did ya?).

To be honest, it could have been much worse, I hit on a couple of underdogs (including my Ballsy Pick of the Week Miami Dolphins), but I easily could have gone 3-10.

Anyways, here are the 5 games I got right:

BALTIMORE (-3.5) over Denver 30-7
CHICAGO (-13.5) over Cleveland 30-6
Houston (-3.5) over BUFFALO 31-10
Miami (+3) over NEW YORK JETS 30-25 (Ballsy Pick of the Week SUCCESSFUL)
Atlanta (+10) over NEW ORLEANS 27-35

I really needed that Falcons cover last night. I was mentally preparing myself for 4-9 when the Saints got the ball back up by 11 with less than 2 minutes left, but they stripped the ball and jason elam got the job done with that saving field goal. There is a huge difference between 4-9 and 5-8.

GREEN BAY (-3) over Minnesota
Score: MIN 38, GB 26
Here is a direct quote from a Packers fan during the game, which I believe captures my feelings about it perfectly, "BOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!"

INDIANAPOLIS (-12.5) over San Francicso
Score: IND 18, SF 14
The only part of this game I watched was 4-5 plays late in the 4th quarter where the 49ers were trying to get the ball back. Of course they were unable to stop the Colts, because no one is ever able to. Anyways, my point is, I'm not really sure why the Colts offense was so lackluster. The 49ers defense is above average, definitely top 10 in the league. But to keep Manning out of the endzone? This marks only the 6th time since the beginning of the 2006 season (62 games, including playoffs) that Manning played in game in which he did not have a touchdown. And the Colts still won the game. Watch out for this team, they know how to get it done.

DETROIT (-4) over St. Louis
Score: STL 17, DET 1o
Congratulations to the Rams, if they didn't get this one, they might have gone 0-16. And no one wants that. The difference was the absence of Calvin Johnson, who is far and away the best player on the Lions roster. If he plays, I think this game at least goes to overtime. The Lions just had nothing working on offense.

Seattle (+9.5) over DALLAS
Score: DAL 38, SEA 17
I don't know what it was that ignited this Cowboys team, but they are on fire right now. Miles Austin has been a very nice story for them (despite the fact that he is a 6'3'' WR who can't dunk over the crossbar) and the defense has come alive the past few games. They have to be the favorite in that division now, what with the Giants in a complete free fall. And I still refuse to forget that the Eagles lost to the Raiders. Unforgiveable.

SAN DIEGO (-16.5) over Oakland
Score: SD 24, OAK 16
Yeah yeah, we didn't play great. We definitely played down to the Raiders level. But we won, and at this point, I will take an 8 point win over anyone.

Jacksonville (+3) over TENNESSEE
Score: TEN 30, JAC 13
It turns out the Titans should have given Vince Young this opportunity weeks ago. He was not spectacular, but he did not turn the ball over and he threw a TD pass. Not to mention, he got the Titans their first win of the season. Much credit must be given to Chris Johnson, who exploded for 228 yards and 2 TDs. I was correct in my "MJD has a big game" prediction (177 yards and 2 TDs) but he had no help and we can officially write off the Jags (they were 3-3 coming in...)

ARIZONA (-10) over Carolina
Score: CAR 34, ARZ 21
You may be expecting me to apologize to Jake Delhomme for saying that he is awful. No, he was 7/14 for 90 yards, ok? Calm down. The Panthers do not go through Delhomme anymore. They go through DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart, who combined for 245 yards and 2 TDs. I don't know what happened to the Cardinals. They had been playing so well on both offense and defense. The Panthers marched up and down the field with the run game and Kurt Warner threw 5 interceptions. I was all but ready to give them the NFC West, now I'm not so sure. I guess someone has to win that division.

New York Giants (Pick) over PHILADELPHIA
Score: PHI 40, NYG 17
I guess this plantar fasciitis is more serious than we thought...

Overall Record: 53-46-1
Ballsy Pick of the Week Record: 6-1

Fantasy Update:

League: WeLikeSportz
Defeated Team Spencer Sheridan 117.79 - 80.63

Matt Hasselbeck 20.45
Steven Jackson 26.03
Steve Slaton 0.77 (benched in the first quarter following his 5th lost fumble of the year)
LeSean McCoy 16.87
Vincent Jackson 21.87
Hakeem Nicks 6.53
Todd Heap 3.27
David Akers 8
Vikings D 14

I was forced to sit 4 starters (2 on byes, 2 out with injuries), add in the Steve Slaton debocle, and this had the potential to be a very, VERY rough week. Thankfully, the Jackson brothers came up huge and Hasselbeck held his own (despite taking numerous shots to his ribs). No one is going to talk about Matt because his team lost by 21, by it really was a gutsy performance by him.

League: League of Imported Spirits
Defeated Team (Inappropriate Name for PG Rated Blog) 104.23 - 102.68

Peyton Manning 13.88
Michael Turner 21.20
Pierre Thomas 20
Andre Johnson 8.30
Hakeem Nicks 5.30
Owen Daniels 2.20 (Injured in first quarter, out for the year)
T.J. Houshmandzadeh 2.40
Johnny Knox 5.05
Kris Brown 12
Ravens D 14

... I was down by 35 points headed into Monday night... I love Turner and Thomas.