I completely forgot that I needed to do this post before the Thursday night game, but I did in fact choose San Francisco (-3.5) to cover against Chicago. I have witnesses, 2 of them actually. My reasoning? The Bears are awful. There you go. Quick Note: Do you think the NFL Network is pissed that their first Thursday game of the season was arguable the worst football game EVER? I would think so.
As for the rest of the games, here's how I'm feeling:
Jacksonville (+7) over NEW YORK JETS
Is it time to start worrying about the Sanchise? Is the hostile, unforgiving New York crowd getting to him? Did we all jump on the "Rex Ryan, defensive genius" bandwagon just a teensy bit too soon? Yes. Yes. And a resounding, unequivocal yes. Something is not right with this Jets team. And I am much more frightened of Maurice Jones-Drew than the Jets defense at this point
Denver (-3.5) over WASHINGTON
All these Chargers fans want me to believe that Denver is going to lose this game. It's not going to happen, ok? It's the Redskins, arguably the most dysfunctional team in the NFL (definitely in the NFC, Oakland or Cleveland might edge them out for the overall title). They just aren't good enough to beat Denver. Clinton Portis is out and Ladell Betts is currently listed as questionable with an ankle injury. So who is going to run the ball for Washington? Rock Cartwright? (Incidentally, the coolest name ever)
Cincinnati (+7) over PITTSBURGH
I can no longer deny the talent of the Bengals. That is a top 10 football team. Who saw that coming before the season??? They are playing well on both sides of the ball, they are beating good teams (3 combined wins over Baltimore and Pittsburgh already this season), and they always seem to keep games close. They don't let games get away from them. Also, Cedric Benson has to be the comeback player of the year right now, right? Can we get them on a night game sometime?
TENNESSEE (-6.5) over Buffalo
I don't know what to do here... All of a sudden the Titans look like the 13-3 team of 2008. Chris Johnson is just a destroyer of worlds. I think he may have had a rush of under 50 yards last week, but I could be wrong. On the other hand, the only thing the Bills can claim is that they are not yet mathematically eliminated from the playoffs, but believe me that train is coming and it is coming fast. I guess I'll take Tennessee... I don't know.
Detroit (+17) over MINNESOTA
17 points is too high.
New Orleans (-13.5) over ST. LOUIS
13.5 points is too low.
Atlanta (-1.5) over CAROLINA
Originally, I scoffed at this line. The lowly Panthers? Just 1.5 points? Ridiculous! But once I actually thought about it, this line really isn't that crazy. The Panthers have played pretty well the last 2 weeks (mainly because they realized that they have a deadly combo of RBs and Jake Delhomme sucks) and were a 2nd half defensive meltdown away from dethroning the undefeated Saints. Also, the Falcons have not been spectacular at run defense. However, I'm still gonna stick with Atlanta. I just think they are better.
Tampa Bay (+10) over MIAMI
What the hell has Miami done to deserve a 10 point line? Seriously, give me one thing. It doesn't matter that everyone thinks they are the best 3-5 team in the history of the NFL, at a certain point you have to just accept that they are, in fact, 3-5. They have beaten Buffalo (whoop-de-freakin-doo) and the Jets twice (by 4 points in week 5 and 5 points in week 8). Don't expect a blowout, kiddies.
OAKLAND (-1.5) over Kansas City
Does anyone care? Anyone out there care about this one at all? Good let's move on.
ARIZONA (-8.5) over Seattle
The line in this game means absolutely nothing. I'm serious, it could be -31 and it wouldn't make a difference. The only thing that matters is which Cardinals team shows up for the game. If you get the 2008 playoff run Cardinals, then there's no contest. It's over. They could win by 50. But, if you get the "crap in the bed" Cardinals (see week 1, 3, and 8 of this season) then they could be down 24-6 at halftime. I am inclined to believe that we will see the former this weekend. If they aren't gonna get up for a division game against the only other possible threat in said division, what are they gonna get up for?
SAN DIEGO (-2.5) over Philadelphia
Have I mentioned that the Eagles lost to the Raiders in week 6? I'm not making this up. I swear.
Dallas (-3) over GREEN BAY
I don't know how much longer we can defend the Packers. "The O-line just needs to get healthy," "No one was getting open for Aaron Rodgers," "Ryan Grant just needs to get going." I'm afraid they just aren't any good. Combine that with the Cowboys' 4-game win streak, and this one seems pretty simple to me.
New England (+3) over INDIANAPOLIS
Game of the year. I don't care what happens later in the season. I don't care if the Patriots go into the Superdome with the chance to end the Saints run at perfection. If you aren't excited by the mere thought of this match up, then you don't have a pulse. Go see your doctor, it could be serious. Anyways, I am all over the Patriots in this game. I think the Pats are just now hitting their stride, while the Colts seem to be slipping just a bit. They haven't lost but they have been close to doing so against the 49ers and Texans the last 2 weeks. I think it comes to a screeching halt this week, that 483 game regular season win streak the Colts have, or whatever it is.
CLEVELAND (+11) over Baltimore
This is easily the ballsiest pick. Of the week? No. Of the year? Getting warmer. EVER? YES! My buddy Edward told me that this was the worst pick he has ever heard. It is unfortunate that he is so sorely mistaken. Look at the facts. The Ravens are 4-4. FACT. You can't deny that they have been a huge disappointment. They have been swept by the Bengals. FACT. They couldn't even beat them at home. That just isn't going to cut it for the Ravens. Their defense has more holes in it than Andy Reid's diet plans (why do I keep picking on the poor guy?... I just can't help it). And while I have zero expectation of a Cleveland victory, they are at home and this is basically Brady Quinn's last chance to prove himself. This game, a Monday night game, with the entire country watching, is his "contract season," if you will. It is now or never for Quinn, that's got to count for something.
Fantasy Time:
WeLikeSportz: Tom Brady, Cedric Benson, Steven Jackson, Vincent Jackson, Calvin Johnson (officially upgraded to probable), Michael Crabtree (7.3 points on Thursday), Fred Davis, David Akers, Vikings D
League of Imported Spirits: Peyton Manning, Hines Ward, Anquan Boldin, Michael Turner, Pierre Thomas, T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Johnny Knox (2.6 points on Thursday), Brent Celek, John Carney (New addition!), Ravens D
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